Official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show Istanbul reaching a daily maximum of 24°C on September 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limited further warming. Multiple model runs converged on this peak during afternoon hours, consistent with seasonal norms near 23–24°C and recent cooling trends after mid-September highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 24°C reflects this tight alignment of verified data. An unexpected convective cell or station-specific microclimate variation could still shift the recorded maximum by 1°C before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
9月18日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,178 交易量
$22,178 交易量
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,178 交易量
$22,178 交易量
2026-09-18
20°C或以下
$108 交易量
否
21°C
$1,015 交易量
否
22°C
$1,605 交易量
否
23°C
$6,600 交易量
否
24°C
$6,459 交易量
是
25°C
$2,028 交易量
否
26°C
$1,067 交易量
否
27°C
$314 交易量
否
28°C
$127 交易量
否
29°C
$1,425 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$1,430 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show Istanbul reaching a daily maximum of 24°C on September 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limited further warming. Multiple model runs converged on this peak during afternoon hours, consistent with seasonal norms near 23–24°C and recent cooling trends after mid-September highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 24°C reflects this tight alignment of verified data. An unexpected convective cell or station-specific microclimate variation could still shift the recorded maximum by 1°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$22,178結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show Istanbul reaching a daily maximum of 24°C on September 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limited further warming. Multiple model runs converged on this peak during afternoon hours, consistent with seasonal norms near 23–24°C and recent cooling trends after mid-September highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 24°C reflects this tight alignment of verified data. An unexpected convective cell or station-specific microclimate variation could still shift the recorded maximum by 1°C before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,178結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official forecasts and real-time observations from meteorological agencies show Istanbul reaching a daily maximum of 24°C on September 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, light northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limited further warming. Multiple model runs converged on this peak during afternoon hours, consistent with seasonal norms near 23–24°C and recent cooling trends after mid-September highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 24°C reflects this tight alignment of verified data. An unexpected convective cell or station-specific microclimate variation could still shift the recorded maximum by 1°C before final verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions