Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Guangzhou on September 11, supported by northerly flow and building high pressure that limits cloud cover and moisture. This setup favors peak temperatures near 32–33 °C through enhanced solar insolation during midday hours, consistent with the seasonal average high of about 32.3 °C. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day convective development or minor wind shifts that could trim or boost the maximum by 1 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日廣州最高溫度?
33°C 45%
32°C 39%
34°C 10%
31°C 6%
$11,594 交易量
$11,594 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
39%
33°C
45%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
<1%
33°C 45%
32°C 39%
34°C 10%
31°C 6%
$11,594 交易量
$11,594 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
39%
33°C
45%
34°C
10%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly sunny to clear conditions over Guangzhou on September 11, supported by northerly flow and building high pressure that limits cloud cover and moisture. This setup favors peak temperatures near 32–33 °C through enhanced solar insolation during midday hours, consistent with the seasonal average high of about 32.3 °C. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact timing of any late-day convective development or minor wind shifts that could trim or boost the maximum by 1 °C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and local observatories will clarify resolution thresholds ahead of the daily peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions