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icon for 8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？

8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？

icon for 8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？

8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？

8月 23

8月 24

8月 23

8月 24

76-77°F 47%

78-79°F 35%

74-75°F 10%

80-81°F 6%

Polymarket
最新

76-77°F 47%

78-79°F 35%

74-75°F 10%

80-81°F 6%

Polymarket
最新

華氏69度或以下

$72 交易量

1%

70-71°F

$103 交易量

1%

72-73°F

$78 交易量

4%

74-75°F

$261 交易量

10%

76-77°F

$1,220 交易量

47%

78-79°F

$165 交易量

35%

80-81°F

$201 交易量

6%

82-83°F

$124 交易量

2%

84-85°F

$46 交易量

1%

86-87°F

$40 交易量

1%

88°F或更高

$110 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,420
結束日期
2026-08-24
市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,420
結束日期
2026-08-24
市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

結算來源

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

相關

icon for 芝加哥在8月23日的最高氣溫會介於76-77°F之間嗎？

芝加哥在8月23日的最高氣溫會介於76-77°F之間嗎？

62%
是
icon for 芝加哥在8月24日的最低氣溫會是47°F或以下嗎？

芝加哥在8月24日的最低氣溫會是47°F或以下嗎？

36%
是
icon for 芝加哥在8月23日的最低氣溫會是51°F或以下嗎？

芝加哥在8月23日的最低氣溫會是51°F或以下嗎？

46%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "76-77°F" at 47%, followed by "78-79°F" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？" is "76-77°F" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "78-79°F" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "8月24日芝加哥的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.