Northwest winds and clear skies are driving trader focus toward overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 23, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing a forecast low near 61°F under mostly clear conditions. Radiational cooling under high pressure, combined with cooler air advection from the northwest, supports these readings, which align closely with climatological norms for late August near Lake Michigan. Recent model consensus and surface observations indicate limited cloud cover overnight will enhance temperature drops, while lake moderation prevents deeper cooling. The elevated 45.5% implied probability on 51°F or below reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale variations, though probabilities drop sharply above 64°F given the current steering pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月23日的最低溫度？
芝加哥8月23日的最低溫度？
51°F或以下 91%
58-59°F 34%
60-61°F 34%
54-55°F 33%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
51°F或以下
91%
52-53°F
22%
54-55°F
33%
56-57°F
33%
58-59°F
34%
60-61°F
34%
62-63°F
33%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F或更高
<1%
51°F或以下 91%
58-59°F 34%
60-61°F 34%
54-55°F 33%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
51°F或以下
$17 交易量
91%
52-53°F
$6 交易量
22%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
33%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
33%
58-59°F
$5 交易量
34%
60-61°F
$5 交易量
34%
62-63°F
$20 交易量
33%
64-65°F
$100 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$180 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$145 交易量
<1%
70°F或更高
$150 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwest winds and clear skies are driving trader focus toward overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 23, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing a forecast low near 61°F under mostly clear conditions. Radiational cooling under high pressure, combined with cooler air advection from the northwest, supports these readings, which align closely with climatological norms for late August near Lake Michigan. Recent model consensus and surface observations indicate limited cloud cover overnight will enhance temperature drops, while lake moderation prevents deeper cooling. The elevated 45.5% implied probability on 51°F or below reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale variations, though probabilities drop sharply above 64°F given the current steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$628結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwest winds and clear skies are driving trader focus toward overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 23, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing a forecast low near 61°F under mostly clear conditions. Radiational cooling under high pressure, combined with cooler air advection from the northwest, supports these readings, which align closely with climatological norms for late August near Lake Michigan. Recent model consensus and surface observations indicate limited cloud cover overnight will enhance temperature drops, while lake moderation prevents deeper cooling. The elevated 45.5% implied probability on 51°F or below reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale variations, though probabilities drop sharply above 64°F given the current steering pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$628結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNorthwest winds and clear skies are driving trader focus toward overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s°F for Chicago on August 23, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing a forecast low near 61°F under mostly clear conditions. Radiational cooling under high pressure, combined with cooler air advection from the northwest, supports these readings, which align closely with climatological norms for late August near Lake Michigan. Recent model consensus and surface observations indicate limited cloud cover overnight will enhance temperature drops, while lake moderation prevents deeper cooling. The elevated 45.5% implied probability on 51°F or below reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and microscale variations, though probabilities drop sharply above 64°F given the current steering pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions