Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago-area highs on August 10 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s amid near-normal Upper Midwest temperatures and an active pattern favoring scattered thunderstorms. Trader clustering around 82–85°F reflects uncertainty over afternoon convective timing, cloud cover, and any outflow boundaries that could cap peak heating before the daily maximum is reached. Surface dew points near 70°F and light southerly flow support modest instability, while historical August climatology at O’Hare shows similar setups producing highs within a 3–4°F envelope depending on storm initiation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through early Monday will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日芝加哥的最高溫度?
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 26%
86-87°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
77°F或以下
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94-95度
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
82-83°F 27%
84-85°F 26%
86-87°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
77°F或以下
2%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
華氏94-95度
<1%
96°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate Chicago-area highs on August 10 will likely fall in the low-to-mid 80s amid near-normal Upper Midwest temperatures and an active pattern favoring scattered thunderstorms. Trader clustering around 82–85°F reflects uncertainty over afternoon convective timing, cloud cover, and any outflow boundaries that could cap peak heating before the daily maximum is reached. Surface dew points near 70°F and light southerly flow support modest instability, while historical August climatology at O’Hare shows similar setups producing highs within a 3–4°F envelope depending on storm initiation. Updated model runs and NWS briefings through early Monday will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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