Recent forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicates a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the seasonal transition to early autumn, where daytime maxima typically moderate from summer peaks around the 27.1°C climatological average high. Stable high-pressure conditions and dry air support limited diurnal warming, keeping probabilities concentrated on 28–30°C outcomes while reducing chances of extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月12日北京最高溫度?
29°C 37%
28°C 26%
30°C 20%
27°C 9%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
26%
29°C
37%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
1%
29°C 37%
28°C 26%
30°C 20%
27°C 9%
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
9%
28°C
26%
29°C
37%
30°C
20%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicates a high near 28–29°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the seasonal transition to early autumn, where daytime maxima typically moderate from summer peaks around the 27.1°C climatological average high. Stable high-pressure conditions and dry air support limited diurnal warming, keeping probabilities concentrated on 28–30°C outcomes while reducing chances of extremes. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions