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icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選舉·全球選舉

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
選舉·全球選舉

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$84,750 交易量

2027-04-22
Polymarket

$84,750 交易量

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$5,305 交易量

87%

Jordan Bardella

$5,884 交易量

9%

Michel Barnier

$409 交易量

9%

Valérie Pécresse

$686 交易量

6%

Élisabeth Borne

$1,456 交易量

8%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,079 交易量

8%

Jean Castex

$1,246 交易量

2%

Gérald Darmanin

$1,103 交易量

4%

Sébastien Lecornu

$3,807 交易量

10%

François Bayrou

$1,278 交易量

1%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,118 交易量

55%

Carole Delga

$1,362 交易量

5%

François Hollande

$1,624 交易量

60%

Manuel Bompard

$3,320 交易量

6%

Mathilde Panot

$19,113 交易量

3%

Dominique de Villepin

$1,286 交易量

50%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of September 2026, France’s 2027 presidential race features an unusually crowded field after Emmanuel Macron became ineligible for a third consecutive term. Major announcements throughout the year include Marine Le Pen (Rassemblement National, July 2026, following a favorable appeals ruling on her eligibility), Jean-Luc Mélenchon (La France Insoumise, May), Gabriel Attal (Renaissance, May), Édouard Philippe (Horizons), Bruno Retailleau (Les Républicains party backing), Raphaël Glucksmann (August), and Fabien Roussel (September), alongside dozens of lesser-known or niche candidates. Trader focus centers on remaining high-profile potential announcements or consolidations ahead of the October 2026 left-wing primary and year-end deadlines, amid polling that shows far-right and far-left contenders leading fragmented centrist and right-of-center options.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$84,750
結束日期
2027-04-23
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.As of September 2026, France’s 2027 presidential race features an unusually crowded field after Emmanuel Macron became ineligible for a third consecutive term. Major announcements throughout the year include Marine Le Pen (Rassemblement National, July 2026, following a favorable appeals ruling on her eligibility), Jean-Luc Mélenchon (La France Insoumise, May), Gabriel Attal (Renaissance, May), Édouard Philippe (Horizons), Bruno Retailleau (Les Républicains party backing), Raphaël Glucksmann (August), and Fabien Roussel (September), alongside dozens of lesser-known or niche candidates. Trader focus centers on remaining high-profile potential announcements or consolidations ahead of the October 2026 left-wing primary and year-end deadlines, amid polling that shows far-right and far-left contenders leading fragmented centrist and right-of-center options.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$84,750
結束日期
2027-04-23
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gabriel Attal" at 100%, followed by "Olivier Faure" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" has generated $84.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" is "Gabriel Attal" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Olivier Faure" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.