Florida’s 19th congressional district remains a structurally Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the party at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship after securing 66 percent in 2024, leaving an open seat that drew a crowded Republican primary won by Jim Schwartzel on August 18. The Democratic nominee, Victor Arias, faces limited infrastructure and fundraising in a district rated safe Republican by forecasters. Historical voting patterns, partisan composition in Southwest Florida, and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers underpin the wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national Democratic wave altering turnout, or unusually low Republican participation in the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,791 交易量
$17,791 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,791 交易量
$17,791 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$6,159 交易量
95%
Democratic Party
$11,632 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 19th congressional district remains a structurally Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the party at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship after securing 66 percent in 2024, leaving an open seat that drew a crowded Republican primary won by Jim Schwartzel on August 18. The Democratic nominee, Victor Arias, faces limited infrastructure and fundraising in a district rated safe Republican by forecasters. Historical voting patterns, partisan composition in Southwest Florida, and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers underpin the wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national Democratic wave altering turnout, or unusually low Republican participation in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$17,791結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida’s 19th congressional district remains a structurally Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the party at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship after securing 66 percent in 2024, leaving an open seat that drew a crowded Republican primary won by Jim Schwartzel on August 18. The Democratic nominee, Victor Arias, faces limited infrastructure and fundraising in a district rated safe Republican by forecasters. Historical voting patterns, partisan composition in Southwest Florida, and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers underpin the wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national Democratic wave altering turnout, or unusually low Republican participation in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,791結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETFlorida’s 19th congressional district remains a structurally Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus favoring the party at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Byron Donalds retired to pursue the governorship after securing 66 percent in 2024, leaving an open seat that drew a crowded Republican primary won by Jim Schwartzel on August 18. The Democratic nominee, Victor Arias, faces limited infrastructure and fundraising in a district rated safe Republican by forecasters. Historical voting patterns, partisan composition in Southwest Florida, and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers underpin the wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major scandal affecting the Republican nominee, an unanticipated national Democratic wave altering turnout, or unusually low Republican participation in the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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