The Côte-du-Sud riding enters the October 5 Quebec general election as a tight three-way contest among the incumbent CAQ’s Mathieu Rivest, PQ nominee Valérie Hamel, PCQ candidate Frédéric Poulin, and PLQ’s Nancy St-Pierre, with recent provincial and riding-level projections placing the top three within a few points amid CAQ erosion since 2022 and gains for PQ and PCQ. The campaign’s early regional focus and fragmented voter preferences across the Bas-Saint-Laurent and Chaudière-Appalaches areas have prevented any contender from consolidating support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely matched probabilities, underscoring how local turnout, leader visits, and late-campaign swings on issues such as health services and agriculture could still shift the outcome before nomination deadlines close on September 17.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於瓦萊麗·哈梅爾 43%
馬修·里維斯特 43%
南希·聖皮耶 43%
Frédéric Poulin 43%

瓦萊麗·哈梅爾
43%

馬修·里維斯特
43%

南希·聖皮耶
43%

Frédéric Poulin
43%
瓦萊麗·哈梅爾 43%
馬修·里維斯特 43%
南希·聖皮耶 43%
Frédéric Poulin 43%

瓦萊麗·哈梅爾
43%

馬修·里維斯特
43%

南希·聖皮耶
43%

Frédéric Poulin
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
The Côte-du-Sud riding enters the October 5 Quebec general election as a tight three-way contest among the incumbent CAQ’s Mathieu Rivest, PQ nominee Valérie Hamel, PCQ candidate Frédéric Poulin, and PLQ’s Nancy St-Pierre, with recent provincial and riding-level projections placing the top three within a few points amid CAQ erosion since 2022 and gains for PQ and PCQ. The campaign’s early regional focus and fragmented voter preferences across the Bas-Saint-Laurent and Chaudière-Appalaches areas have prevented any contender from consolidating support. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely matched probabilities, underscoring how local turnout, leader visits, and late-campaign swings on issues such as health services and agriculture could still shift the outcome before nomination deadlines close on September 17.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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