Canada's July 2026 monthly GDP advance estimate from Statistics Canada showed essentially flat output at 0.0% month-over-month, following a 0.3% gain in June and 0.8% expansion in Q2. Offsetting sector moves—gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services against declines in retail trade and manufacturing—anchored the preliminary reading, while July merchandise trade data revealed a narrowed surplus as exports fell 2.3% and imports rose 2.2%. This positions the 0.0–0.1% outcome as the market-implied favorite at 43.5%, with the official September 29 release serving as the key resolution catalyst amid typical revisions to flash estimates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於0.0%至0.1% 41%
低於0.0% 23%
0.2%至0.3% 22%
0.4%至0.5% 9%
低於0.0%
23%
0.0%至0.1%
41%
0.2%至0.3%
22%
0.4%至0.5%
9%
0.6% 至 0.7%
8%
0.8%及以上
3%
0.0%至0.1% 41%
低於0.0% 23%
0.2%至0.3% 22%
0.4%至0.5% 9%
低於0.0%
23%
0.0%至0.1%
41%
0.2%至0.3%
22%
0.4%至0.5%
9%
0.6% 至 0.7%
8%
0.8%及以上
3%
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Canada's July 2026 monthly GDP advance estimate from Statistics Canada showed essentially flat output at 0.0% month-over-month, following a 0.3% gain in June and 0.8% expansion in Q2. Offsetting sector moves—gains in real estate, rental and leasing, and professional services against declines in retail trade and manufacturing—anchored the preliminary reading, while July merchandise trade data revealed a narrowed surplus as exports fell 2.3% and imports rose 2.2%. This positions the 0.0–0.1% outcome as the market-implied favorite at 43.5%, with the official September 29 release serving as the key resolution catalyst amid typical revisions to flash estimates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions