Augusto Cury and Renan Santos lead trader pricing for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting their recent polling gains and distinct outsider profiles amid a fragmented field behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Cury’s surge stems from television exposure, rapid social-media growth, and a centrist message emphasizing reduced polarization and institutional reform. Santos draws support from younger voters through his MBL roots and pragmatic right-wing platform focused on economic liberalization and anti-establishment themes. Ronaldo Caiado trails as established center-right governors struggle for visibility. Recent debates and TSE candidacy validations have kept the contest fluid, with late shifts in undecided or protest voting likely to determine final separation among the three.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧古斯托·庫里 43.8%
雷南·桑托斯 39%
Ronaldo Caiado 16%
弗拉维奥·博索納羅 <1%
$1,151,833 交易量
$1,151,833 交易量

奧古斯托·庫里
44%

雷南·桑托斯
39%

Ronaldo Caiado
16%

弗拉维奥·博索納羅
1%

羅梅烏·澤馬
1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%

塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%

賈伊爾·博索納羅
<1%

費爾南多·哈達德
<1%

米歇爾·波索納羅
<1%

愛德華多·博索納羅
<1%

哈蒂紐·儒尼奧爾
<1%

卡米洛·桑塔納
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

阿爾多·雷貝洛
<1%

愛杜亞多·萊特
<1%

特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%

埃爾德·巴爾巴略
<1%
奧古斯托·庫里 43.8%
雷南·桑托斯 39%
Ronaldo Caiado 16%
弗拉维奥·博索納羅 <1%
$1,151,833 交易量
$1,151,833 交易量

奧古斯托·庫里
44%

雷南·桑托斯
39%

Ronaldo Caiado
16%

弗拉维奥·博索納羅
1%

羅梅烏·澤馬
1%

Pablo Marçal
<1%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%

塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%

賈伊爾·博索納羅
<1%

費爾南多·哈達德
<1%

米歇爾·波索納羅
<1%

愛德華多·博索納羅
<1%

哈蒂紐·儒尼奧爾
<1%

卡米洛·桑塔納
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

阿爾多·雷貝洛
<1%

愛杜亞多·萊特
<1%

特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%

埃爾德·巴爾巴略
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Augusto Cury and Renan Santos lead trader pricing for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote, reflecting their recent polling gains and distinct outsider profiles amid a fragmented field behind frontrunners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro. Cury’s surge stems from television exposure, rapid social-media growth, and a centrist message emphasizing reduced polarization and institutional reform. Santos draws support from younger voters through his MBL roots and pragmatic right-wing platform focused on economic liberalization and anti-establishment themes. Ronaldo Caiado trails as established center-right governors struggle for visibility. Recent debates and TSE candidacy validations have kept the contest fluid, with late shifts in undecided or protest voting likely to determine final separation among the three.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions