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icon for 塞阿拉州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

塞阿拉州參議院選舉：第一名

icon for 塞阿拉州參議院選舉：第一名
政治·巴西

塞阿拉州參議院選舉：第一名

Cid Gomes 55%

卡皮唐·瓦格納 25%

Luizianne 12%

阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯 7%

Polymarket
最新

Cid Gomes 55%

卡皮唐·瓦格納 25%

Luizianne 12%

阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯 7%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Cid Gomes

Cid Gomes

$573 交易量

55%

icon for 卡皮唐·瓦格納

卡皮唐·瓦格納

$174 交易量

25%

icon for Luizianne

Luizianne

$95 交易量

12%

icon for 阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯

阿爾西德斯·費爾南德斯

$40 交易量

7%

icon for 卡塔麗娜·馬托斯

卡塔麗娜·馬托斯

$109 交易量

4%

icon for Guilherme Theophilo

Guilherme Theophilo

$86 交易量

4%

icon for 雷吉納爾多

雷吉納爾多

$88 交易量

4%

icon for Lino Alves

Lino Alves

$86 交易量

4%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys show a tight three-way contest for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, with incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) separated by just a few points amid double-digit undecided voters. Cid’s incumbency, prior gubernatorial record, and alignment with the state’s PT-led government provide a modest edge, while Wagner draws support from the opposition bloc and Lins benefits from PT-aligned networks. The absence of major scandals, late candidate entries, or decisive campaign events since party conventions in early August has kept implied probabilities clustered. Additional statewide polls, televised debates, or turnout shifts among urban and interior voters could widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,252
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel and Quaest surveys show a tight three-way contest for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026 Senate election, with incumbent Cid Gomes (PSB), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Luizianne Lins (Rede) separated by just a few points amid double-digit undecided voters. Cid’s incumbency, prior gubernatorial record, and alignment with the state’s PT-led government provide a modest edge, while Wagner draws support from the opposition bloc and Lins benefits from PT-aligned networks. The absence of major scandals, late candidate entries, or decisive campaign events since party conventions in early August has kept implied probabilities clustered. Additional statewide polls, televised debates, or turnout shifts among urban and interior voters could widen gaps before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,252
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"塞阿拉州參議院選舉：第一名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cid Gomes" at 55%, followed by "卡皮唐·瓦格納" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"塞阿拉州參議院選舉：第一名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "塞阿拉州參議院選舉：第一名," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "塞阿拉州參議院選舉：第一名" is "Cid Gomes" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "卡皮唐·瓦格納" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "塞阿拉州參議院選舉：第一名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.