Recent polls from Datafolha and AtlasIntel show a fragmented field for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes leading narrowly ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins, while Guilherme Theophilo, Alcides Fernandes, and others trail in single or low double digits. Final candidate registrations and party alliances have locked in an eight-candidate ballot, keeping second-place positioning fluid as no clear runner-up has emerged. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with top names clustered because small shifts in turnout among opposition or center-right voters, or late campaign momentum tied to the gubernatorial race, could reorder the lower tier. Upcoming surveys and any coalition adjustments before October remain the main near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於卡皮唐·瓦格納 40%
雷吉納爾多 25%
Guilherme Theophilo 22%
Luizianne 18%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格納
58%
雷吉納爾多
25%
Guilherme Theophilo
22%
Luizianne
18%
卡塔琳娜·馬托斯
17%
Cid Gomes
16%
Alcides Fernandes
10%
Lino Alves
4%
卡皮唐·瓦格納 40%
雷吉納爾多 25%
Guilherme Theophilo 22%
Luizianne 18%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卡皮唐·瓦格納
$748 交易量
58%
雷吉納爾多
$40 交易量
25%
Guilherme Theophilo
$40 交易量
22%
Luizianne
$40 交易量
18%
卡塔琳娜·馬托斯
$40 交易量
17%
Cid Gomes
$40 交易量
16%
Alcides Fernandes
$82 交易量
10%
Lino Alves
$109 交易量
4%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Datafolha and AtlasIntel show a fragmented field for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes leading narrowly ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins, while Guilherme Theophilo, Alcides Fernandes, and others trail in single or low double digits. Final candidate registrations and party alliances have locked in an eight-candidate ballot, keeping second-place positioning fluid as no clear runner-up has emerged. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with top names clustered because small shifts in turnout among opposition or center-right voters, or late campaign momentum tied to the gubernatorial race, could reorder the lower tier. Upcoming surveys and any coalition adjustments before October remain the main near-term catalysts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,139結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Datafolha and AtlasIntel show a fragmented field for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes leading narrowly ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins, while Guilherme Theophilo, Alcides Fernandes, and others trail in single or low double digits. Final candidate registrations and party alliances have locked in an eight-candidate ballot, keeping second-place positioning fluid as no clear runner-up has emerged. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with top names clustered because small shifts in turnout among opposition or center-right voters, or late campaign momentum tied to the gubernatorial race, could reorder the lower tier. Upcoming surveys and any coalition adjustments before October remain the main near-term catalysts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,139結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Datafolha and AtlasIntel show a fragmented field for Ceará’s two Senate seats, with Cid Gomes leading narrowly ahead of Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins, while Guilherme Theophilo, Alcides Fernandes, and others trail in single or low double digits. Final candidate registrations and party alliances have locked in an eight-candidate ballot, keeping second-place positioning fluid as no clear runner-up has emerged. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with top names clustered because small shifts in turnout among opposition or center-right voters, or late campaign momentum tied to the gubernatorial race, could reorder the lower tier. Upcoming surveys and any coalition adjustments before October remain the main near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions