Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse and Libertarian Bobby Wilson in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the current 95.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Womack advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after securing 63.8% in 2024, while forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican. No major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national wave indicators have emerged to alter this positioning. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large Democratic turnout surge would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,073 交易量
$17,073 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,073 交易量
$17,073 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$9,690 交易量
96%
Democratic Party
$7,383 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse and Libertarian Bobby Wilson in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the current 95.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Womack advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after securing 63.8% in 2024, while forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican. No major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national wave indicators have emerged to alter this positioning. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large Democratic turnout surge would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$17,073結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse and Libertarian Bobby Wilson in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the current 95.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Womack advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after securing 63.8% in 2024, while forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican. No major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national wave indicators have emerged to alter this positioning. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large Democratic turnout surge would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,073結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse and Libertarian Bobby Wilson in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the current 95.5% implied probability for a Republican victory. Womack advanced unopposed through the Republican primary after securing 63.8% in 2024, while forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican. No major polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national wave indicators have emerged to alter this positioning. A late scandal, health development, or unusually large Democratic turnout surge would be required to meaningfully narrow the gap before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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