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政治·巴西

亞馬遜州州長選舉贏家

icon for 亞馬遜州州長選舉贏家
政治·巴西

亞馬遜州州長選舉贏家

奧馬爾·阿齊茲 71%

教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫 18%

吉爾貝托·瓦斯孔塞洛斯 4.5%

羅伯托·席達德 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

奧馬爾·阿齊茲 71%

教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫 18%

吉爾貝托·瓦斯孔塞洛斯 4.5%

羅伯托·席達德 1.3%

Polymarket
最新
icon for 奧馬爾·阿齊茲

奧馬爾·阿齊茲

$2,015 交易量

71%

icon for 教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫

教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫

$210 交易量

18%

icon for 吉爾貝托·瓦斯孔塞洛斯

吉爾貝托·瓦斯孔塞洛斯

$168 交易量

5%

icon for 羅伯托·席達德

羅伯托·席達德

$160 交易量

1%

icon for 大衛·阿爾梅達

大衛·阿爾梅達

$151 交易量

1%

icon for 卡博·達西奧洛

卡博·達西奧洛

$147 交易量

1%

icon for 伊撒埃爾·蒙杜魯庫

伊撒埃爾·蒙杜魯庫

$216 交易量

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads trader consensus in the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race due to his formal PSD nomination, broad coalition backing including the Brazil of Hope federation (PT, PCdoB, PV), and consistent polling strength as a former governor and incumbent senator. Recent party conventions and endorsements have consolidated support ahead of the October first-round vote, where a runoff is possible if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. Challengers such as Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and others trail significantly in both surveys and market pricing, reflecting limited momentum or fragmented opposition. The incumbent governor is ineligible for a third consecutive term under Brazilian rules, narrowing the field and reinforcing Aziz's positioning as the frontrunner entering the final campaign period.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,066
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads trader consensus in the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race due to his formal PSD nomination, broad coalition backing including the Brazil of Hope federation (PT, PCdoB, PV), and consistent polling strength as a former governor and incumbent senator. Recent party conventions and endorsements have consolidated support ahead of the October first-round vote, where a runoff is possible if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. Challengers such as Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) and others trail significantly in both surveys and market pricing, reflecting limited momentum or fragmented opposition. The incumbent governor is ineligible for a third consecutive term under Brazilian rules, narrowing the field and reinforcing Aziz's positioning as the frontrunner entering the final campaign period.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,066
結束日期
2026-10-04
市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"亞馬遜州州長選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "奧馬爾·阿齊茲" at 71%, followed by "教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"亞馬遜州州長選舉贏家" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "亞馬遜州州長選舉贏家," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "亞馬遜州州長選舉贏家" is "奧馬爾·阿齊茲" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "教授瑪麗亞·杜·卡莫" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "亞馬遜州州長選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.