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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
政治·全球選舉

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
政治·全球選舉

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$398,164 交易量

2027-04-16
Polymarket

$398,164 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$9,197 交易量

97%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$32,014 交易量

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$7,144 交易量

86%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$4,376 交易量

84%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$17,564 交易量

84%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$11,536 交易量

74%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$12,177 交易量

73%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$10,756 交易量

68%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$13,486 交易量

63%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,908 交易量

57%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$16,984 交易量

39%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$15,999 交易量

32%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$2,378 交易量

27%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$11,814 交易量

26%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10,752 交易量

26%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$29,999 交易量

19%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$7,519 交易量

15%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$4,312 交易量

14%

icon for 胡安·布蘭科

胡安·布蘭科

$7,538 交易量

13%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$26,494 交易量

12%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$10,624 交易量

11%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$1,593 交易量

8%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$2,820 交易量

8%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$10,805 交易量

7%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,548 交易量

7%

icon for 馬提厄·皮加斯

馬提厄·皮加斯

$13,590 交易量

7%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,031 交易量

6%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$2,765 交易量

6%

icon for 泰迪·里納

泰迪·里納

$1,937 交易量

6%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$2,137 交易量

6%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$1,639 交易量

5%

icon for 巴利·巴亞約科

巴利·巴亞約科

$7,546 交易量

5%

icon for 曼努埃爾·瓦爾斯

曼努埃爾·瓦爾斯

$1,221 交易量

5%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,235 交易量

5%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$6,904 交易量

5%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$3,829 交易量

4%

icon for 菲利普·德·維利耶

菲利普·德·維利耶

$4,127 交易量

4%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$4,037 交易量

4%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$10,873 交易量

4%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,770 交易量

4%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,348 交易量

4%

icon for 米歇爾-愛德華·勒克萊爾

米歇爾-愛德華·勒克萊爾

$9,388 交易量

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$21,369 交易量

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,403 交易量

3%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$5,891 交易量

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,786 交易量

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field after Emmanuel Macron's ineligibility for a third term. Marine Le Pen's appeal of her embezzlement conviction reduced her ineligibility period, allowing her to launch a campaign and lead first-round polling at 33-36%. Jean-Luc Mélenchon positions as a top challenger from the far left, while the centre remains fragmented between former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Over 30-50 figures have declared or are presumed candidates across parties, though securing the required 500 parrainages from elected officials will determine ballot access. A United Left primary is set for October 2026, amid ongoing right-wing debates over primaries versus direct nominations and broader polarization favoring extremes.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$398,164
結束日期
2027-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, scheduled for April 18 with a potential runoff on May 2, features an unusually crowded field after Emmanuel Macron's ineligibility for a third term. Marine Le Pen's appeal of her embezzlement conviction reduced her ineligibility period, allowing her to launch a campaign and lead first-round polling at 33-36%. Jean-Luc Mélenchon positions as a top challenger from the far left, while the centre remains fragmented between former prime ministers Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Over 30-50 figures have declared or are presumed candidates across parties, though securing the required 500 parrainages from elected officials will determine ballot access. A United Left primary is set for October 2026, amid ongoing right-wing debates over primaries versus direct nominations and broader polarization favoring extremes.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$398,164
結束日期
2027-04-17
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 46+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 97%, followed by "Marine Le Pen" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" has generated $398.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," browse the 46+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" is "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marine Le Pen" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.