Wyoming's 2026 Senate race features an open Republican-held seat after incumbent Cynthia Lummis declined to seek a second term. The August 18 Republican primary featured U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman as the clear frontrunner, backed by endorsements from former President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso. Wyoming's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, limited Democratic infrastructure, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising on the other side underpin the current trader consensus. All major race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a significant late-cycle development such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee that alters the state's political dynamics before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWyoming Senate Election Winner
$16,713 KL.
$16,713 KL.

Republican
96%

Democrat
2%
$16,713 KL.
$16,713 KL.

Republican
96%

Democrat
2%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's 2026 Senate race features an open Republican-held seat after incumbent Cynthia Lummis declined to seek a second term. The August 18 Republican primary featured U.S. Representative Harriet Hageman as the clear frontrunner, backed by endorsements from former President Trump, Lummis, and Senator John Barrasso. Wyoming's consistent Republican dominance in federal elections, limited Democratic infrastructure, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising on the other side underpin the current trader consensus. All major race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A Democratic upset would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a significant late-cycle development such as a major scandal involving the Republican nominee that alters the state's political dynamics before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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