Florida's special U.S. Senate race features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking a full term against the Democratic nominee, likely Alex Vindman following the August 18 primary. Moody maintains consistent polling leads of 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting the state's Republican tilt evident in recent presidential results. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns an 87% implied probability to a GOP victory. Key influences include Moody's incumbency advantage, fundraising and name recognition, and limited evidence of Democratic momentum despite Vindman's profile. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from primary outcomes or late developments, though current data show stable positioning favoring the Republican outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$67,151 KL.
$67,151 KL.
Republican
87%
Democrat
13%
$67,151 KL.
$67,151 KL.
Republican
$37,551 KL.
87%
Democrat
$29,600 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special U.S. Senate race features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking a full term against the Democratic nominee, likely Alex Vindman following the August 18 primary. Moody maintains consistent polling leads of 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting the state's Republican tilt evident in recent presidential results. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns an 87% implied probability to a GOP victory. Key influences include Moody's incumbency advantage, fundraising and name recognition, and limited evidence of Democratic momentum despite Vindman's profile. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from primary outcomes or late developments, though current data show stable positioning favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$67,151Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special U.S. Senate race features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking a full term against the Democratic nominee, likely Alex Vindman following the August 18 primary. Moody maintains consistent polling leads of 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting the state's Republican tilt evident in recent presidential results. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns an 87% implied probability to a GOP victory. Key influences include Moody's incumbency advantage, fundraising and name recognition, and limited evidence of Democratic momentum despite Vindman's profile. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from primary outcomes or late developments, though current data show stable positioning favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$67,151Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's special U.S. Senate race features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking a full term against the Democratic nominee, likely Alex Vindman following the August 18 primary. Moody maintains consistent polling leads of 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting the state's Republican tilt evident in recent presidential results. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns an 87% implied probability to a GOP victory. Key influences include Moody's incumbency advantage, fundraising and name recognition, and limited evidence of Democratic momentum despite Vindman's profile. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from primary outcomes or late developments, though current data show stable positioning favoring the Republican outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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