Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds an 86% implied probability in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election due to the state's consistent Republican advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising. Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa trails at 15% despite recent polls showing Abbott's lead narrowing to between one and six points among likely voters. July and August surveys from Emerson College, the Texas A&M Bush School, and others reflect a competitive general election environment, yet traders continue to price in Texas's structural partisan lean and Abbott's established campaign organization ahead of the November 3 contest. Scheduled debates and shifts in economic or energy issues remain potential variables within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTexas Governor Election Winner
Texas Governor Election Winner
$56,433 KL.
$56,433 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Greg Abbott (R)
86%
Gina Hinojosa (D)
15%
$56,433 KL.
$56,433 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Greg Abbott (R)
$25,135 KL.
86%
Gina Hinojosa (D)
$31,299 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds an 86% implied probability in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election due to the state's consistent Republican advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising. Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa trails at 15% despite recent polls showing Abbott's lead narrowing to between one and six points among likely voters. July and August surveys from Emerson College, the Texas A&M Bush School, and others reflect a competitive general election environment, yet traders continue to price in Texas's structural partisan lean and Abbott's established campaign organization ahead of the November 3 contest. Scheduled debates and shifts in economic or energy issues remain potential variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$56,433Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds an 86% implied probability in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election due to the state's consistent Republican advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising. Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa trails at 15% despite recent polls showing Abbott's lead narrowing to between one and six points among likely voters. July and August surveys from Emerson College, the Texas A&M Bush School, and others reflect a competitive general election environment, yet traders continue to price in Texas's structural partisan lean and Abbott's established campaign organization ahead of the November 3 contest. Scheduled debates and shifts in economic or energy issues remain potential variables within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$56,433Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Abbott holds an 86% implied probability in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election due to the state's consistent Republican advantages in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising. Democratic nominee Gina Hinojosa trails at 15% despite recent polls showing Abbott's lead narrowing to between one and six points among likely voters. July and August surveys from Emerson College, the Texas A&M Bush School, and others reflect a competitive general election environment, yet traders continue to price in Texas's structural partisan lean and Abbott's established campaign organization ahead of the November 3 contest. Scheduled debates and shifts in economic or energy issues remain potential variables within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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