Texas Republicans enacted mid-decade congressional redistricting in August 2025, targeting five Democratic-held districts to add Republican seats ahead of the 2026 midterms, following presidential urging. The revised map, upheld by the Supreme Court for use in 2026 after lower-court challenges, consolidates Democratic voters in urban areas while shifting South Texas and suburban districts. However, strong Democratic incumbents such as Henry Cuellar and Vicente Gonzalez in border districts, combined with fluid Latino voter patterns and a national generic ballot environment favoring Democrats, have limited expected Republican gains. Cook Political Report and other ratings reflect a mix of safe Republican seats with several competitive races, producing trader consensus around 10–12 Democratic seats as the balance between redistricting effects and countervailing factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật11 24%
10 20%
9 16%
12 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<8
5%
8
9%
9
16%
10
20%
11
43%
12
30%
13
5%
14+
5%
11 24%
10 20%
9 16%
12 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
<8
$0 KL.
5%
8
$190 KL.
9%
9
$165 KL.
16%
10
$40 KL.
20%
11
$20 KL.
43%
12
$20 KL.
30%
13
$0 KL.
5%
14+
$0 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Texas Republicans enacted mid-decade congressional redistricting in August 2025, targeting five Democratic-held districts to add Republican seats ahead of the 2026 midterms, following presidential urging. The revised map, upheld by the Supreme Court for use in 2026 after lower-court challenges, consolidates Democratic voters in urban areas while shifting South Texas and suburban districts. However, strong Democratic incumbents such as Henry Cuellar and Vicente Gonzalez in border districts, combined with fluid Latino voter patterns and a national generic ballot environment favoring Democrats, have limited expected Republican gains. Cook Political Report and other ratings reflect a mix of safe Republican seats with several competitive races, producing trader consensus around 10–12 Democratic seats as the balance between redistricting effects and countervailing factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Khối lượng
$435Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Texas Republicans enacted mid-decade congressional redistricting in August 2025, targeting five Democratic-held districts to add Republican seats ahead of the 2026 midterms, following presidential urging. The revised map, upheld by the Supreme Court for use in 2026 after lower-court challenges, consolidates Democratic voters in urban areas while shifting South Texas and suburban districts. However, strong Democratic incumbents such as Henry Cuellar and Vicente Gonzalez in border districts, combined with fluid Latino voter patterns and a national generic ballot environment favoring Democrats, have limited expected Republican gains. Cook Political Report and other ratings reflect a mix of safe Republican seats with several competitive races, producing trader consensus around 10–12 Democratic seats as the balance between redistricting effects and countervailing factors.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Texas in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Texas US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$435Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Texas Republicans enacted mid-decade congressional redistricting in August 2025, targeting five Democratic-held districts to add Republican seats ahead of the 2026 midterms, following presidential urging. The revised map, upheld by the Supreme Court for use in 2026 after lower-court challenges, consolidates Democratic voters in urban areas while shifting South Texas and suburban districts. However, strong Democratic incumbents such as Henry Cuellar and Vicente Gonzalez in border districts, combined with fluid Latino voter patterns and a national generic ballot environment favoring Democrats, have limited expected Republican gains. Cook Political Report and other ratings reflect a mix of safe Republican seats with several competitive races, producing trader consensus around 10–12 Democratic seats as the balance between redistricting effects and countervailing factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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