Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas's decisive primary victory and the district's entrenched Republican advantage anchor trader consensus around a 94.5% probability for the GOP nominee. Oklahoma's 3rd district carries an R+23 Partisan Voter Index, ranks among the nation's most conservative seats, and delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles. Lucas, first elected in 1994 and a senior member of the House Agriculture Committee, faces Democrat Suzie Byrd in the November 3 general election after both secured nominations on June 16 with limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic win would require an unusually severe national midterm shift, a major candidate-specific disruption such as scandal or health issues, or unprecedented turnout changes in this western Oklahoma district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOK-03 House Election Winner
OK-03 House Election Winner
$104,349 KL.
$104,349 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
$104,349 KL.
$104,349 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$60,840 KL.
95%
Democratic Party
$43,509 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas's decisive primary victory and the district's entrenched Republican advantage anchor trader consensus around a 94.5% probability for the GOP nominee. Oklahoma's 3rd district carries an R+23 Partisan Voter Index, ranks among the nation's most conservative seats, and delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles. Lucas, first elected in 1994 and a senior member of the House Agriculture Committee, faces Democrat Suzie Byrd in the November 3 general election after both secured nominations on June 16 with limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic win would require an unusually severe national midterm shift, a major candidate-specific disruption such as scandal or health issues, or unprecedented turnout changes in this western Oklahoma district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$104,349Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas's decisive primary victory and the district's entrenched Republican advantage anchor trader consensus around a 94.5% probability for the GOP nominee. Oklahoma's 3rd district carries an R+23 Partisan Voter Index, ranks among the nation's most conservative seats, and delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles. Lucas, first elected in 1994 and a senior member of the House Agriculture Committee, faces Democrat Suzie Byrd in the November 3 general election after both secured nominations on June 16 with limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic win would require an unusually severe national midterm shift, a major candidate-specific disruption such as scandal or health issues, or unprecedented turnout changes in this western Oklahoma district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$104,349Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Frank Lucas's decisive primary victory and the district's entrenched Republican advantage anchor trader consensus around a 94.5% probability for the GOP nominee. Oklahoma's 3rd district carries an R+23 Partisan Voter Index, ranks among the nation's most conservative seats, and delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles. Lucas, first elected in 1994 and a senior member of the House Agriculture Committee, faces Democrat Suzie Byrd in the November 3 general election after both secured nominations on June 16 with limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A Democratic win would require an unusually severe national midterm shift, a major candidate-specific disruption such as scandal or health issues, or unprecedented turnout changes in this western Oklahoma district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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