California's 6th congressional district carries a Democratic lean following redistricting and voter registration patterns favoring Democrats over Republicans and independents. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, running as no party preference while caucusing with Republicans, advanced from the June primary alongside Democratic challenger Richard Pan. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, consistent with historical results and the district's Sacramento-area suburban profile. These factors underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a commanding position ahead of the November general election. A significant Republican national environment or unusually strong suburban turnout for Kiley could narrow the margin, though structural advantages limit such shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-06 House Election Winner
CA-06 House Election Winner
$42,111 KL.
$42,111 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$42,111 KL.
$42,111 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,223 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$23,888 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district carries a Democratic lean following redistricting and voter registration patterns favoring Democrats over Republicans and independents. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, running as no party preference while caucusing with Republicans, advanced from the June primary alongside Democratic challenger Richard Pan. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, consistent with historical results and the district's Sacramento-area suburban profile. These factors underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a commanding position ahead of the November general election. A significant Republican national environment or unusually strong suburban turnout for Kiley could narrow the margin, though structural advantages limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$42,111Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district carries a Democratic lean following redistricting and voter registration patterns favoring Democrats over Republicans and independents. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, running as no party preference while caucusing with Republicans, advanced from the June primary alongside Democratic challenger Richard Pan. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, consistent with historical results and the district's Sacramento-area suburban profile. These factors underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a commanding position ahead of the November general election. A significant Republican national environment or unusually strong suburban turnout for Kiley could narrow the margin, though structural advantages limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,111Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district carries a Democratic lean following redistricting and voter registration patterns favoring Democrats over Republicans and independents. Incumbent Kevin Kiley, running as no party preference while caucusing with Republicans, advanced from the June primary alongside Democratic challenger Richard Pan. Recent polling shows Pan holding a modest lead, consistent with historical results and the district's Sacramento-area suburban profile. These factors underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee holds a commanding position ahead of the November general election. A significant Republican national environment or unusually strong suburban turnout for Kiley could narrow the margin, though structural advantages limit such shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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