North Carolina’s 12th congressional district, anchored in Charlotte and parts of Mecklenburg County, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, making it the state’s most Democratic-leaning seat and one that has never elected a Republican. Incumbent Alma Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while Republicans nominated Jack Codiga after their own primary. The district’s demographics, including a large Black voting-age population and consistent urban turnout patterns, underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. With no reported redistricting shifts, candidate withdrawals, or major scandals since the primaries, the implied probability for the Democratic nominee remains elevated. A credible challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, significant changes to district lines before the November 2026 general election, or unforeseen developments affecting Adams’ position.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNC-12 House Election Winner
NC-12 House Election Winner
$48,140 KL.
$48,140 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$48,140 KL.
$48,140 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,931 KL.
95%
Republican Party
$31,209 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 12th congressional district, anchored in Charlotte and parts of Mecklenburg County, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, making it the state’s most Democratic-leaning seat and one that has never elected a Republican. Incumbent Alma Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while Republicans nominated Jack Codiga after their own primary. The district’s demographics, including a large Black voting-age population and consistent urban turnout patterns, underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. With no reported redistricting shifts, candidate withdrawals, or major scandals since the primaries, the implied probability for the Democratic nominee remains elevated. A credible challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, significant changes to district lines before the November 2026 general election, or unforeseen developments affecting Adams’ position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$48,140Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 12th congressional district, anchored in Charlotte and parts of Mecklenburg County, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, making it the state’s most Democratic-leaning seat and one that has never elected a Republican. Incumbent Alma Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while Republicans nominated Jack Codiga after their own primary. The district’s demographics, including a large Black voting-age population and consistent urban turnout patterns, underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. With no reported redistricting shifts, candidate withdrawals, or major scandals since the primaries, the implied probability for the Democratic nominee remains elevated. A credible challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, significant changes to district lines before the November 2026 general election, or unforeseen developments affecting Adams’ position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$48,140Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 12th congressional district, anchored in Charlotte and parts of Mecklenburg County, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, making it the state’s most Democratic-leaning seat and one that has never elected a Republican. Incumbent Alma Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while Republicans nominated Jack Codiga after their own primary. The district’s demographics, including a large Black voting-age population and consistent urban turnout patterns, underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. With no reported redistricting shifts, candidate withdrawals, or major scandals since the primaries, the implied probability for the Democratic nominee remains elevated. A credible challenge would require an unusually strong Republican national environment, significant changes to district lines before the November 2026 general election, or unforeseen developments affecting Adams’ position.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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