South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and Democrat Zyon Khalifa advancing from the Democratic runoff. The district's voter composition, historical margins, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising shifts have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 85.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. The modest Democratic share at 14.5 percent reflects the party's structural disadvantages in this central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and the Augusta area. Outcomes labeled A, B, and Other capture residual uncertainty around third-party or write-in support but show no evidence of altering the primary party contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-02 House Election Winner
SC-02 House Election Winner
$34,857 KL.
$34,857 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
15%
$34,857 KL.
$34,857 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,210 KL.
86%
Democratic Party
$22,646 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and Democrat Zyon Khalifa advancing from the Democratic runoff. The district's voter composition, historical margins, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising shifts have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 85.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. The modest Democratic share at 14.5 percent reflects the party's structural disadvantages in this central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and the Augusta area. Outcomes labeled A, B, and Other capture residual uncertainty around third-party or write-in support but show no evidence of altering the primary party contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,857Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and Democrat Zyon Khalifa advancing from the Democratic runoff. The district's voter composition, historical margins, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising shifts have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 85.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. The modest Democratic share at 14.5 percent reflects the party's structural disadvantages in this central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and the Augusta area. Outcomes labeled A, B, and Other capture residual uncertainty around third-party or write-in support but show no evidence of altering the primary party contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$34,857Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 2nd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat, with incumbent Joe Wilson securing the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary and Democrat Zyon Khalifa advancing from the Democratic runoff. The district's voter composition, historical margins, and lack of competitive polling or fundraising shifts have anchored trader consensus on a Republican victory at 85.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November 3 general election. The modest Democratic share at 14.5 percent reflects the party's structural disadvantages in this central South Carolina seat spanning Columbia and the Augusta area. Outcomes labeled A, B, and Other capture residual uncertainty around third-party or write-in support but show no evidence of altering the primary party contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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