Recent developments in Iowa's open Senate race have positioned Republican nominee Ashley Hinson with a modest edge in trader consensus. Incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement created an open seat in a state with a Republican lean, and Hinson secured her party's nomination in the June primary with strong backing from Ernst and former President Trump. Democrat Josh Turek advanced from a competitive primary emphasizing economic and education issues. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly one point in a toss-up contest, while Hinson leads in fundraising. These factors, alongside Iowa's partisan baseline, underpin the current 57-43.5 implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$180,830 KL.
$180,830 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$180,830 KL.
$180,830 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$91,343 KL.
57%
Josh Turek (D)
$89,487 KL.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent developments in Iowa's open Senate race have positioned Republican nominee Ashley Hinson with a modest edge in trader consensus. Incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement created an open seat in a state with a Republican lean, and Hinson secured her party's nomination in the June primary with strong backing from Ernst and former President Trump. Democrat Josh Turek advanced from a competitive primary emphasizing economic and education issues. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly one point in a toss-up contest, while Hinson leads in fundraising. These factors, alongside Iowa's partisan baseline, underpin the current 57-43.5 implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$180,830Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent developments in Iowa's open Senate race have positioned Republican nominee Ashley Hinson with a modest edge in trader consensus. Incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement created an open seat in a state with a Republican lean, and Hinson secured her party's nomination in the June primary with strong backing from Ernst and former President Trump. Democrat Josh Turek advanced from a competitive primary emphasizing economic and education issues. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly one point in a toss-up contest, while Hinson leads in fundraising. These factors, alongside Iowa's partisan baseline, underpin the current 57-43.5 implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$180,830Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent developments in Iowa's open Senate race have positioned Republican nominee Ashley Hinson with a modest edge in trader consensus. Incumbent Joni Ernst's retirement created an open seat in a state with a Republican lean, and Hinson secured her party's nomination in the June primary with strong backing from Ernst and former President Trump. Democrat Josh Turek advanced from a competitive primary emphasizing economic and education issues. Recent polling averages show Hinson ahead by roughly one point in a toss-up contest, while Hinson leads in fundraising. These factors, alongside Iowa's partisan baseline, underpin the current 57-43.5 implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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