Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent Tocantins senator and current first vice-president of the Federal Senate, holds a commanding lead in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election, reflected in the 77.5% market price. Recent July 2026 polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows him at 31% in stimulated scenarios, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, a position reinforced by his established party infrastructure within PL and explicit support from Bolsonarist networks. With 13 registered candidates including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Carlos Gaguim, and Eli Borges, the fragmented field and Gomes’ incumbency advantage have kept challenger probabilities low. Trader consensus incorporates these polling trends and structural factors while noting that late shifts in alliances or turnout could still influence final placement before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEduardo Gomes 79%
Ronaldo Dimas 11.8%
Nilton Santos 5.4%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 5.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
79%
Ronaldo Dimas
7%
Nilton Santos
5%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
5%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
5%
Fábio Ribeiro
5%
Gaguim
4%
Paulo Mourão
4%
Professor Osvaldo
4%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
4%
Osvany Luz
4%
Alexandre Guimarães
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Eduardo Gomes 79%
Ronaldo Dimas 11.8%
Nilton Santos 5.4%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 5.1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
$3,768 KL.
79%
Ronaldo Dimas
$170 KL.
7%
Nilton Santos
$152 KL.
5%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$119 KL.
5%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$139 KL.
5%
Fábio Ribeiro
$139 KL.
5%
Gaguim
$138 KL.
4%
Paulo Mourão
$139 KL.
4%
Professor Osvaldo
$139 KL.
4%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$139 KL.
4%
Osvany Luz
$121 KL.
4%
Alexandre Guimarães
$129 KL.
1%
Eli Borges
$139 KL.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent Tocantins senator and current first vice-president of the Federal Senate, holds a commanding lead in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election, reflected in the 77.5% market price. Recent July 2026 polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows him at 31% in stimulated scenarios, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, a position reinforced by his established party infrastructure within PL and explicit support from Bolsonarist networks. With 13 registered candidates including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Carlos Gaguim, and Eli Borges, the fragmented field and Gomes’ incumbency advantage have kept challenger probabilities low. Trader consensus incorporates these polling trends and structural factors while noting that late shifts in alliances or turnout could still influence final placement before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,431Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent Tocantins senator and current first vice-president of the Federal Senate, holds a commanding lead in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election, reflected in the 77.5% market price. Recent July 2026 polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows him at 31% in stimulated scenarios, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, a position reinforced by his established party infrastructure within PL and explicit support from Bolsonarist networks. With 13 registered candidates including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Carlos Gaguim, and Eli Borges, the fragmented field and Gomes’ incumbency advantage have kept challenger probabilities low. Trader consensus incorporates these polling trends and structural factors while noting that late shifts in alliances or turnout could still influence final placement before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$5,431Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent Tocantins senator and current first vice-president of the Federal Senate, holds a commanding lead in the race for first place in the October 4, 2026, election, reflected in the 77.5% market price. Recent July 2026 polling from Paraná Pesquisas shows him at 31% in stimulated scenarios, ahead of Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, a position reinforced by his established party infrastructure within PL and explicit support from Bolsonarist networks. With 13 registered candidates including Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Carlos Gaguim, and Eli Borges, the fragmented field and Gomes’ incumbency advantage have kept challenger probabilities low. Trader consensus incorporates these polling trends and structural factors while noting that late shifts in alliances or turnout could still influence final placement before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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