Allyson Bezerra of União Brasil leads the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race with a substantial margin in recent polling and a formalized center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. His late-July 2026 convention launch as the nominee, following service as Mossoró mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu Xavier of the PT remains the primary challenger on the left, while Álvaro Dias of the PL and smaller candidates trail further behind. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the election timeline and coalition breadth serving as the main near-term influences on implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAllyson 75%
Cadu de Lula 19%
Álvaro Dias 7%
Professor Roberio Paulino 2.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Allyson
75%
Cadu de Lula
19%
Álvaro Dias
7%
Professor Roberio Paulino
2%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
1%
Henrique Lyra
1%
Carlos Jararaca
1%
Arinalda do MLB
<1%
Dário Barbosa
<1%
Allyson 75%
Cadu de Lula 19%
Álvaro Dias 7%
Professor Roberio Paulino 2.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Allyson
$1,612 KL.
75%
Cadu de Lula
$382 KL.
19%
Álvaro Dias
$219 KL.
7%
Professor Roberio Paulino
$251 KL.
2%
Rodrigo Bolsonaro
$261 KL.
1%
Henrique Lyra
$262 KL.
1%
Carlos Jararaca
$240 KL.
1%
Arinalda do MLB
$237 KL.
<1%
Dário Barbosa
$229 KL.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra of União Brasil leads the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race with a substantial margin in recent polling and a formalized center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. His late-July 2026 convention launch as the nominee, following service as Mossoró mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu Xavier of the PT remains the primary challenger on the left, while Álvaro Dias of the PL and smaller candidates trail further behind. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the election timeline and coalition breadth serving as the main near-term influences on implied probabilities.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,691Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra of União Brasil leads the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race with a substantial margin in recent polling and a formalized center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. His late-July 2026 convention launch as the nominee, following service as Mossoró mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu Xavier of the PT remains the primary challenger on the left, while Álvaro Dias of the PL and smaller candidates trail further behind. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the election timeline and coalition breadth serving as the main near-term influences on implied probabilities.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$3,691Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Allyson Bezerra of União Brasil leads the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race with a substantial margin in recent polling and a formalized center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. His late-July 2026 convention launch as the nominee, following service as Mossoró mayor, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Cadu Xavier of the PT remains the primary challenger on the left, while Álvaro Dias of the PL and smaller candidates trail further behind. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics, with the election timeline and coalition breadth serving as the main near-term influences on implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp