Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in recent April–August polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data, with 18–28% support that has remained stable ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats. Her positioning stems from strong alliance backing within the Popular Front coalition supporting João Campos for governor, combined with her established name recognition as a former federal deputy and granddaughter of ex-governor Miguel Arraes. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and challengers including Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) trail in the competitive field for the remaining seat, with no major recent shifts in candidate positioning or alliance dynamics reported in the past month. Trader consensus reflects this polling trend while noting the race’s sensitivity to turnout and late-campaign developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMarília Arraes 87%
Gorett Bitu 4.9%
Mendonça Filho 4.9%
Carlos Sant'Anna 4.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
87%
Gorett Bitu
5%
Mendonça Filho
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
5%
Humberto Costa
5%
Mariano Macedo
5%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
5%
Mailson da Silva Neto
4%
Samuel Timoteo
4%
Eduardo da Fonte
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
1%
Marília Arraes 87%
Gorett Bitu 4.9%
Mendonça Filho 4.9%
Carlos Sant'Anna 4.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Marília Arraes
$1,793 KL.
87%
Gorett Bitu
$126 KL.
5%
Mendonça Filho
$126 KL.
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$123 KL.
5%
Humberto Costa
$113 KL.
5%
Mariano Macedo
$134 KL.
5%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$126 KL.
5%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$154 KL.
4%
Samuel Timoteo
$148 KL.
4%
Eduardo da Fonte
$123 KL.
5%
Túlio Gadêlha
$126 KL.
1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$126 KL.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in recent April–August polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data, with 18–28% support that has remained stable ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats. Her positioning stems from strong alliance backing within the Popular Front coalition supporting João Campos for governor, combined with her established name recognition as a former federal deputy and granddaughter of ex-governor Miguel Arraes. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and challengers including Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) trail in the competitive field for the remaining seat, with no major recent shifts in candidate positioning or alliance dynamics reported in the past month. Trader consensus reflects this polling trend while noting the race’s sensitivity to turnout and late-campaign developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,220Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in recent April–August polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data, with 18–28% support that has remained stable ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats. Her positioning stems from strong alliance backing within the Popular Front coalition supporting João Campos for governor, combined with her established name recognition as a former federal deputy and granddaughter of ex-governor Miguel Arraes. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and challengers including Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) trail in the competitive field for the remaining seat, with no major recent shifts in candidate positioning or alliance dynamics reported in the past month. Trader consensus reflects this polling trend while noting the race’s sensitivity to turnout and late-campaign developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$3,220Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in recent April–August polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and Real Time Big Data, with 18–28% support that has remained stable ahead of the October 4, 2026, vote for Pernambuco’s two Senate seats. Her positioning stems from strong alliance backing within the Popular Front coalition supporting João Campos for governor, combined with her established name recognition as a former federal deputy and granddaughter of ex-governor Miguel Arraes. Incumbent Humberto Costa (PT) and challengers including Mendonça Filho (PL) and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) trail in the competitive field for the remaining seat, with no major recent shifts in candidate positioning or alliance dynamics reported in the past month. Trader consensus reflects this polling trend while noting the race’s sensitivity to turnout and late-campaign developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp