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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro 68%

Lula 32%

Clariana Barao <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket
MỚI

Flavio Bolsonaro 68%

Lula 32%

Clariana Barao <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket
MỚI
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$2,044 KL.

68%

icon for Lula

Lula

$2,007 KL.

32%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$393 KL.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$380 KL.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$559 KL.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$532 KL.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$322 KL.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$504 KL.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$343 KL.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$284 KL.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$500 KL.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$533 KL.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$591 KL.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds the strongest position for first place in the Federal District's first-round presidential vote due to the territory's conservative voter base and longstanding alignment with the Bolsonaro family movement. Local polling from early August shows him in a technical tie or narrow lead over incumbent Lula da Silva among DF residents, contrasting with Lula's national edge. The official campaign launch in mid-August, PL party convention activities in Brasília, and family reconciliation have reinforced mobilization among right-leaning voters there. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the contest centered on these two while traders price in the district-specific dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$8,991
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds the strongest position for first place in the Federal District's first-round presidential vote due to the territory's conservative voter base and longstanding alignment with the Bolsonaro family movement. Local polling from early August shows him in a technical tie or narrow lead over incumbent Lula da Silva among DF residents, contrasting with Lula's national edge. The official campaign launch in mid-August, PL party convention activities in Brasília, and family reconciliation have reinforced mobilization among right-leaning voters there. Minor candidates register negligible support, leaving the contest centered on these two while traders price in the district-specific dynamics ahead of the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$8,991
Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026
Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Federal District, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Federal District. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Federal District. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 13 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Flavio Bolsonaro" ở mức 68%, tiếp theo là "Lula" ở mức 32%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 68¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 68% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Aug 17, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District," duyệt 13 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District" là "Flavio Bolsonaro" ở mức 68%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 68% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Lula" ở mức 32%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.