Recent polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions ahead of the October 4 vote, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through social-media mobilization and appeal to voters seeking a more anti-establishment right-wing option, often matching or exceeding Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema in August surveys. Caiado and Zema, both former governors with established party support, trail as their bases remain narrower. The market consensus reflects these trends, with Santos positioned ahead due to sustained upward movement in voter intention over recent months and limited shifts among other listed contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRenan Santos 53%
Ronaldo Caiado 39%
Romeu Zema 4.9%
Flávio Bolsonaro 4.0%
$549,272 KL.
$549,272 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Renan Santos
53%
Ronaldo Caiado
39%
Romeu Zema
5%
Flávio Bolsonaro
4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Fernando Haddad
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Renan Santos 53%
Ronaldo Caiado 39%
Romeu Zema 4.9%
Flávio Bolsonaro 4.0%
$549,272 KL.
$549,272 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Renan Santos
$183,718 KL.
53%
Ronaldo Caiado
$52,693 KL.
39%
Romeu Zema
$22,539 KL.
5%
Flávio Bolsonaro
$25,103 KL.
4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$13,872 KL.
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$45,571 KL.
<1%
Fernando Haddad
$21,713 KL.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$8,747 KL.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$7,754 KL.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$9,865 KL.
<1%
Tereza Cristina
$4,083 KL.
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$12,815 KL.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$104,175 KL.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$13,084 KL.
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$10,684 KL.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$9,374 KL.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$3,481 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions ahead of the October 4 vote, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through social-media mobilization and appeal to voters seeking a more anti-establishment right-wing option, often matching or exceeding Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema in August surveys. Caiado and Zema, both former governors with established party support, trail as their bases remain narrower. The market consensus reflects these trends, with Santos positioned ahead due to sustained upward movement in voter intention over recent months and limited shifts among other listed contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Khối lượng
$549,272Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions ahead of the October 4 vote, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through social-media mobilization and appeal to voters seeking a more anti-establishment right-wing option, often matching or exceeding Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema in August surveys. Caiado and Zema, both former governors with established party support, trail as their bases remain narrower. The market consensus reflects these trends, with Santos positioned ahead due to sustained upward movement in voter intention over recent months and limited shifts among other listed contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$549,272Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro dominating first-round intentions ahead of the October 4 vote, leaving a fragmented field for third place. Renan Santos has gained ground through social-media mobilization and appeal to voters seeking a more anti-establishment right-wing option, often matching or exceeding Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema in August surveys. Caiado and Zema, both former governors with established party support, trail as their bases remain narrower. The market consensus reflects these trends, with Santos positioned ahead due to sustained upward movement in voter intention over recent months and limited shifts among other listed contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Liệu Flávio Bolsonaro có về nhì trong vòng một của cuộc bầu cử tổng thống Brazil năm 2026 không?
86%
Có
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
68%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?
94%
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp