Humberto Costa maintains a leading position in trader assessments for second place in Pernambuco's Senate contest due to consistent polling trends positioning the incumbent PT senator behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through mid-August show Arraes ahead in multiple scenarios, with Costa typically securing the next strongest share amid a fragmented field. Mendonça Filho's early August confirmation as the PL candidate has introduced new competition but has not yet shifted the consensus substantially. Lower-probability options including Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and Paulo Rubem Santiago reflect limited movement in voter intention data, while the two-seat structure and October election timeline continue to anchor current market probabilities around established name recognition and party alignments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHumberto Costa 59%
Mailson da Silva Neto 24%
Carlos Sant'Anna 23%
Marília Arraes 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
63%
Mailson da Silva Neto
24%
Carlos Sant'Anna
23%
Marília Arraes
23%
Mendonça Filho
22%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
22%
Túlio Gadêlha
22%
Eduardo da Fonte
21%
Samuel Timoteo
15%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
14%
Gorett Bitu
14%
Mariano Macedo
14%
Humberto Costa 59%
Mailson da Silva Neto 24%
Carlos Sant'Anna 23%
Marília Arraes 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
$395 KL.
63%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$20 KL.
24%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$20 KL.
23%
Marília Arraes
$20 KL.
23%
Mendonça Filho
$20 KL.
22%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$20 KL.
22%
Túlio Gadêlha
$20 KL.
22%
Eduardo da Fonte
$20 KL.
21%
Samuel Timoteo
$20 KL.
15%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$20 KL.
14%
Gorett Bitu
$20 KL.
14%
Mariano Macedo
$20 KL.
14%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Humberto Costa maintains a leading position in trader assessments for second place in Pernambuco's Senate contest due to consistent polling trends positioning the incumbent PT senator behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through mid-August show Arraes ahead in multiple scenarios, with Costa typically securing the next strongest share amid a fragmented field. Mendonça Filho's early August confirmation as the PL candidate has introduced new competition but has not yet shifted the consensus substantially. Lower-probability options including Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and Paulo Rubem Santiago reflect limited movement in voter intention data, while the two-seat structure and October election timeline continue to anchor current market probabilities around established name recognition and party alignments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$615Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Humberto Costa maintains a leading position in trader assessments for second place in Pernambuco's Senate contest due to consistent polling trends positioning the incumbent PT senator behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through mid-August show Arraes ahead in multiple scenarios, with Costa typically securing the next strongest share amid a fragmented field. Mendonça Filho's early August confirmation as the PL candidate has introduced new competition but has not yet shifted the consensus substantially. Lower-probability options including Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and Paulo Rubem Santiago reflect limited movement in voter intention data, while the two-seat structure and October election timeline continue to anchor current market probabilities around established name recognition and party alignments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$615Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Humberto Costa maintains a leading position in trader assessments for second place in Pernambuco's Senate contest due to consistent polling trends positioning the incumbent PT senator behind frontrunner Marília Arraes. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data through mid-August show Arraes ahead in multiple scenarios, with Costa typically securing the next strongest share amid a fragmented field. Mendonça Filho's early August confirmation as the PL candidate has introduced new competition but has not yet shifted the consensus substantially. Lower-probability options including Túlio Gadêlha, Eduardo da Fonte, and Paulo Rubem Santiago reflect limited movement in voter intention data, while the two-seat structure and October election timeline continue to anchor current market probabilities around established name recognition and party alignments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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