Renato Casagrande (PSB), the recently resigned governor of Espírito Santo, holds a commanding position as the frontrunner for first place in the state's 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent polling leads of 30% or higher across multiple surveys. His strong name recognition, prior Senate experience, and broad party alliances position him ahead of incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Podemos), whose reelection bids face headwinds, along with other contenders including Evair de Melo (Republicanos), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and Maguinha Malta (PL). Recent candidate registrations and campaign launches in July and August 2026 have reinforced trader assessments of Casagrande's path, with the October election still allowing time for shifts driven by turnout dynamics or late alliances in the contest for the two available seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRenato Casagrande 84%
Evair de Melo 5.8%
Fabiano Contarato 4.9%
Callegari 4.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
84%
Evair de Melo
6%
Fabiano Contarato
5%
Callegari
5%
Leonardo Monjardim
5%
Maguinha Malta
4%
Rose de Freitas
4%
Marcos do Val
3%
Rodney Miranda
3%
Sergio Meneguelli
3%
Professor Fabian
3%
Renato Casagrande 84%
Evair de Melo 5.8%
Fabiano Contarato 4.9%
Callegari 4.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Renato Casagrande
$3,525 KL.
84%
Evair de Melo
$56 KL.
6%
Fabiano Contarato
$72 KL.
5%
Callegari
$63 KL.
5%
Leonardo Monjardim
$56 KL.
5%
Maguinha Malta
$75 KL.
4%
Rose de Freitas
$56 KL.
4%
Marcos do Val
$75 KL.
3%
Rodney Miranda
$74 KL.
3%
Sergio Meneguelli
$76 KL.
3%
Professor Fabian
$72 KL.
3%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB), the recently resigned governor of Espírito Santo, holds a commanding position as the frontrunner for first place in the state's 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent polling leads of 30% or higher across multiple surveys. His strong name recognition, prior Senate experience, and broad party alliances position him ahead of incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Podemos), whose reelection bids face headwinds, along with other contenders including Evair de Melo (Republicanos), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and Maguinha Malta (PL). Recent candidate registrations and campaign launches in July and August 2026 have reinforced trader assessments of Casagrande's path, with the October election still allowing time for shifts driven by turnout dynamics or late alliances in the contest for the two available seats.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,201Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Renato Casagrande (PSB), the recently resigned governor of Espírito Santo, holds a commanding position as the frontrunner for first place in the state's 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent polling leads of 30% or higher across multiple surveys. His strong name recognition, prior Senate experience, and broad party alliances position him ahead of incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Podemos), whose reelection bids face headwinds, along with other contenders including Evair de Melo (Republicanos), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and Maguinha Malta (PL). Recent candidate registrations and campaign launches in July and August 2026 have reinforced trader assessments of Casagrande's path, with the October election still allowing time for shifts driven by turnout dynamics or late alliances in the contest for the two available seats.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$4,201Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Renato Casagrande (PSB), the recently resigned governor of Espírito Santo, holds a commanding position as the frontrunner for first place in the state's 2026 Senate race, reflecting consistent polling leads of 30% or higher across multiple surveys. His strong name recognition, prior Senate experience, and broad party alliances position him ahead of incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Podemos), whose reelection bids face headwinds, along with other contenders including Evair de Melo (Republicanos), Sergio Meneguelli (PSD), and Maguinha Malta (PL). Recent candidate registrations and campaign launches in July and August 2026 have reinforced trader assessments of Casagrande's path, with the October election still allowing time for shifts driven by turnout dynamics or late alliances in the contest for the two available seats.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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