The Parti Québécois maintains a clear lead in recent polling averages and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and first-past-the-post dynamics that favor its regional concentration despite popular vote shares near 29 percent. The Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap under new leader Christine Fréchette, climbing into second place in several August surveys as voters weigh economic pressures and U.S. tariffs. The Parti Libéral du Québec has lost ground among francophones, splitting the federalist vote and limiting its path. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire hold steady but limited shares. Traders price in the likelihood of a PQ plurality or minority government based on these trends and the campaign's early volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 72%
CAQ 26%
PLQ 3.0%
PCQ <1%
$887,031 KL.
$887,031 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
72%
CAQ
26%
PLQ
3%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 72%
CAQ 26%
PLQ 3.0%
PCQ <1%
$887,031 KL.
$887,031 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PQ
$117,225 KL.
72%
CAQ
$136,328 KL.
26%
PLQ
$123,484 KL.
3%
PCQ
$245,950 KL.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 KL.
<1%
QS
$106,523 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a clear lead in recent polling averages and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and first-past-the-post dynamics that favor its regional concentration despite popular vote shares near 29 percent. The Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap under new leader Christine Fréchette, climbing into second place in several August surveys as voters weigh economic pressures and U.S. tariffs. The Parti Libéral du Québec has lost ground among francophones, splitting the federalist vote and limiting its path. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire hold steady but limited shares. Traders price in the likelihood of a PQ plurality or minority government based on these trends and the campaign's early volatility.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$887,031Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois maintains a clear lead in recent polling averages and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and first-past-the-post dynamics that favor its regional concentration despite popular vote shares near 29 percent. The Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap under new leader Christine Fréchette, climbing into second place in several August surveys as voters weigh economic pressures and U.S. tariffs. The Parti Libéral du Québec has lost ground among francophones, splitting the federalist vote and limiting its path. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire hold steady but limited shares. Traders price in the likelihood of a PQ plurality or minority government based on these trends and the campaign's early volatility.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$887,031Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois maintains a clear lead in recent polling averages and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and first-past-the-post dynamics that favor its regional concentration despite popular vote shares near 29 percent. The Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap under new leader Christine Fréchette, climbing into second place in several August surveys as voters weigh economic pressures and U.S. tariffs. The Parti Libéral du Québec has lost ground among francophones, splitting the federalist vote and limiting its path. Smaller parties including the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire hold steady but limited shares. Traders price in the likelihood of a PQ plurality or minority government based on these trends and the campaign's early volatility.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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