The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPuaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 84%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 84%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 84%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
84%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
84%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
84%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
42%
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 84%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 84%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 84%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni
$0 KL.
84%
Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo
$0 KL.
84%
Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo
$0 KL.
84%
Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia
$0 KL.
42%
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The recent Electoral Court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by the top two candidates has reset the contest, creating a fresh field of contenders including independents and nominees from FAST and HRPP. This procedural reset, combined with Samoa's party-hopping rules and fragmented local support across villages, has kept probabilities evenly matched across listed candidates. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over nomination timelines, campaign focus on constituency infrastructure and cost-of-living concerns, and the absence of a dominant frontrunner ahead of the next poll. Scheduled candidate confirmations and any late endorsements could shift alignments before voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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