In the Laurier-Dorion riding, the 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest shaped by the incumbent Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire facing Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, alongside candidates from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party, and CAQ. Recent provincial polling shows the PQ leading overall, yet local projections from models like 338Canada indicate a toss-up between QS and the Liberals due to the riding's Montreal demographics and QS's strong 2022 performance. The nomination deadline of September 17 and ongoing campaign dynamics, including party positioning on key issues, sustain close trader consensus without clear separation. Late polling shifts or turnout in key voter blocs could alter the balance before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAndrés Fontecilla 43%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega 26%
Emil Parfyonov 25%
Derek Lefebvre 24%
Andrés Fontecilla
43%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega
26%
Emil Parfyonov
25%
Derek Lefebvre
24%
Randy Legault-Rankin
24%
Andrés Fontecilla 43%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega 26%
Emil Parfyonov 25%
Derek Lefebvre 24%
Andrés Fontecilla
43%
Kelly Lazo de la Vega
26%
Emil Parfyonov
25%
Derek Lefebvre
24%
Randy Legault-Rankin
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...In the Laurier-Dorion riding, the 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest shaped by the incumbent Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire facing Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, alongside candidates from the Parti Québécois, Conservative Party, and CAQ. Recent provincial polling shows the PQ leading overall, yet local projections from models like 338Canada indicate a toss-up between QS and the Liberals due to the riding's Montreal demographics and QS's strong 2022 performance. The nomination deadline of September 17 and ongoing campaign dynamics, including party positioning on key issues, sustain close trader consensus without clear separation. Late polling shifts or turnout in key voter blocs could alter the balance before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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