AfD leads recent polling averages at around 41 percent for the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, far ahead of the CDU near 23-24 percent and smaller parties clustered at or below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning reflects sustained regional support in eastern Germany, national trends favoring the party after the prior federal coalition collapse, and voter fragmentation that could convert a mid-40s vote share into an absolute majority of seats. The implied probability in the market aligns with these stable leads and the absence of major late-campaign shifts or successful opposition consolidation. Potential challenges include unexpected turnout surges among non-AfD voters, stronger performances by CDU or Die Linke that clear the threshold, or last-minute events altering momentum before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Sachsen-Anhalt
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Sachsen-Anhalt
AfD 99.2%
CDU <1%
Đảng Cánh tả <1%
BSW <1%
$885,392 KL.
$885,392 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
99%
CDU
1%
Đảng Cánh tả
<1%
BSW
<1%
FDP
<1%
SPD
<1%
Đảng Xanh
<1%
AfD 99.2%
CDU <1%
Đảng Cánh tả <1%
BSW <1%
$885,392 KL.
$885,392 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
AfD
$90,984 KL.
99%
CDU
$502,168 KL.
1%
Đảng Cánh tả
$47,106 KL.
<1%
BSW
$36,803 KL.
<1%
FDP
$27,385 KL.
<1%
SPD
$124,095 KL.
<1%
Đảng Xanh
$56,851 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD leads recent polling averages at around 41 percent for the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, far ahead of the CDU near 23-24 percent and smaller parties clustered at or below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning reflects sustained regional support in eastern Germany, national trends favoring the party after the prior federal coalition collapse, and voter fragmentation that could convert a mid-40s vote share into an absolute majority of seats. The implied probability in the market aligns with these stable leads and the absence of major late-campaign shifts or successful opposition consolidation. Potential challenges include unexpected turnout surges among non-AfD voters, stronger performances by CDU or Die Linke that clear the threshold, or last-minute events altering momentum before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$885,392Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).AfD leads recent polling averages at around 41 percent for the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, far ahead of the CDU near 23-24 percent and smaller parties clustered at or below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning reflects sustained regional support in eastern Germany, national trends favoring the party after the prior federal coalition collapse, and voter fragmentation that could convert a mid-40s vote share into an absolute majority of seats. The implied probability in the market aligns with these stable leads and the absence of major late-campaign shifts or successful opposition consolidation. Potential challenges include unexpected turnout surges among non-AfD voters, stronger performances by CDU or Die Linke that clear the threshold, or last-minute events altering momentum before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Khối lượng
$885,392Ngày kết thúc
Sep 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD leads recent polling averages at around 41 percent for the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, far ahead of the CDU near 23-24 percent and smaller parties clustered at or below the 5 percent threshold. This positioning reflects sustained regional support in eastern Germany, national trends favoring the party after the prior federal coalition collapse, and voter fragmentation that could convert a mid-40s vote share into an absolute majority of seats. The implied probability in the market aligns with these stable leads and the absence of major late-campaign shifts or successful opposition consolidation. Potential challenges include unexpected turnout surges among non-AfD voters, stronger performances by CDU or Die Linke that clear the threshold, or last-minute events altering momentum before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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