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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Bầu Cử·Pháp

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$295,601 KL.

Apr 16, 2027
Polymarket

$295,601 KL.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,680 KL.

95%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$25,484 KL.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,973 KL.

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$14,448 KL.

85%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,614 KL.

81%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,482 KL.

77%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$9,826 KL.

65%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$7,957 KL.

58%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,597 KL.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$6,773 KL.

56%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$14,209 KL.

42%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,776 KL.

36%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,296 KL.

32%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$10,217 KL.

31%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9,942 KL.

28%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$6,957 KL.

26%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,599 KL.

18%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$21,455 KL.

13%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$4,911 KL.

13%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,453 KL.

12%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$6,172 KL.

12%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$8,504 KL.

12%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,697 KL.

10%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$7,933 KL.

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,119 KL.

8%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,341 KL.

8%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,161 KL.

8%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$12,661 KL.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,824 KL.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 KL.

7%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,018 KL.

6%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$1,075 KL.

6%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,609 KL.

6%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$681 KL.

5%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$595 KL.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$4,400 KL.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$364 KL.

3%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,088 KL.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,934 KL.

3%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,160 KL.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 KL.

3%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$6,512 KL.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,849 KL.

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$829 KL.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$994 KL.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 KL.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeals court ruling cleared her embezzlement case and lifted any prospective office ban, enabling her formal candidacy announcement and removing the main legal barrier that had clouded RN prospects. This development, alongside Jordan Bardella’s strong polling as the party’s alternative, has consolidated trader focus on RN figures securing the required 500 parrainages from elected officials. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 declaration for La France Insoumise and declarations from centrist figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have added to a crowded field of roughly 30 potential contenders, while Emmanuel Macron’s term limit bars his participation. Signature gathering, party endorsements, and Constitutional Council validation closer to the April 2027 first round remain the decisive procedural hurdles that will determine the final ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$295,601
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 17, 2027
Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Marine Le Pen’s July 2026 appeals court ruling cleared her embezzlement case and lifted any prospective office ban, enabling her formal candidacy announcement and removing the main legal barrier that had clouded RN prospects. This development, alongside Jordan Bardella’s strong polling as the party’s alternative, has consolidated trader focus on RN figures securing the required 500 parrainages from elected officials. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 declaration for La France Insoumise and declarations from centrist figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have added to a crowded field of roughly 30 potential contenders, while Emmanuel Macron’s term limit bars his participation. Signature gathering, party endorsements, and Constitutional Council validation closer to the April 2027 first round remain the decisive procedural hurdles that will determine the final ballot.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$295,601
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 17, 2027
Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 46+ kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" ở mức 95%, tiếp theo là "Marine Le Pen" ở mức 88%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 95¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 95% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" đã tạo $295.6K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Apr 22, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," duyệt 46+ kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" là "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" ở mức 95%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 95% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Marine Le Pen" ở mức 88%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

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