Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election as Pingtung County magistrate on November 28, 2026, holds an 86.5% implied probability as the market leader. Her strong positioning stems from prior electoral success in 2022 and the DPP's February 2026 nomination of sitting county executives for another term. Su Ching-chuan, the Kuomintang legislator nominated by the opposition party in December 2025, trails at 14.5%, reflecting limited recent polling momentum or coalition support in this southern county. Numerous lesser-known candidates register at market levels indicating negligible expected vote share. Trader consensus incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency, party resources, and historical voting patterns in Pingtung, with limited major developments since the spring nominations altering the competitive landscape ahead of the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Chou Chun-mi
87%
Su Ching-chuan
15%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Chou Chun-mi
$1,346 KL.
87%
Su Ching-chuan
$1,517 KL.
15%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election as Pingtung County magistrate on November 28, 2026, holds an 86.5% implied probability as the market leader. Her strong positioning stems from prior electoral success in 2022 and the DPP's February 2026 nomination of sitting county executives for another term. Su Ching-chuan, the Kuomintang legislator nominated by the opposition party in December 2025, trails at 14.5%, reflecting limited recent polling momentum or coalition support in this southern county. Numerous lesser-known candidates register at market levels indicating negligible expected vote share. Trader consensus incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency, party resources, and historical voting patterns in Pingtung, with limited major developments since the spring nominations altering the competitive landscape ahead of the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,863Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election as Pingtung County magistrate on November 28, 2026, holds an 86.5% implied probability as the market leader. Her strong positioning stems from prior electoral success in 2022 and the DPP's February 2026 nomination of sitting county executives for another term. Su Ching-chuan, the Kuomintang legislator nominated by the opposition party in December 2025, trails at 14.5%, reflecting limited recent polling momentum or coalition support in this southern county. Numerous lesser-known candidates register at market levels indicating negligible expected vote share. Trader consensus incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency, party resources, and historical voting patterns in Pingtung, with limited major developments since the spring nominations altering the competitive landscape ahead of the vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Khối lượng
$2,863Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chou Chun-mi, the Democratic Progressive Party incumbent seeking re-election as Pingtung County magistrate on November 28, 2026, holds an 86.5% implied probability as the market leader. Her strong positioning stems from prior electoral success in 2022 and the DPP's February 2026 nomination of sitting county executives for another term. Su Ching-chuan, the Kuomintang legislator nominated by the opposition party in December 2025, trails at 14.5%, reflecting limited recent polling momentum or coalition support in this southern county. Numerous lesser-known candidates register at market levels indicating negligible expected vote share. Trader consensus incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency, party resources, and historical voting patterns in Pingtung, with limited major developments since the spring nominations altering the competitive landscape ahead of the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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