Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker seeks a third term in the November 2026 New Jersey Senate election after running unopposed in the June primary, while Republican Justin Murphy secured his party's nomination in a fragmented contest. New Jersey's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in partisan voting indices and historical results, underpins the market's overwhelming 96.6% probability for the Democrat. All major race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, with no general election polls yet available and Republicans without a Senate victory in the state since 1972. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major candidate scandals, unexpected national shifts, or turnout surges could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Jersey Senate Election Winner
New Jersey Senate Election Winner
$20,260 KL.
$20,260 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
97%
Republican
4%
$20,260 KL.
$20,260 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$10,676 KL.
97%
Republican
$9,584 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker seeks a third term in the November 2026 New Jersey Senate election after running unopposed in the June primary, while Republican Justin Murphy secured his party's nomination in a fragmented contest. New Jersey's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in partisan voting indices and historical results, underpins the market's overwhelming 96.6% probability for the Democrat. All major race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, with no general election polls yet available and Republicans without a Senate victory in the state since 1972. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major candidate scandals, unexpected national shifts, or turnout surges could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,260Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker seeks a third term in the November 2026 New Jersey Senate election after running unopposed in the June primary, while Republican Justin Murphy secured his party's nomination in a fragmented contest. New Jersey's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in partisan voting indices and historical results, underpins the market's overwhelming 96.6% probability for the Democrat. All major race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, with no general election polls yet available and Republicans without a Senate victory in the state since 1972. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major candidate scandals, unexpected national shifts, or turnout surges could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$20,260Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Cory Booker seeks a third term in the November 2026 New Jersey Senate election after running unopposed in the June primary, while Republican Justin Murphy secured his party's nomination in a fragmented contest. New Jersey's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in partisan voting indices and historical results, underpins the market's overwhelming 96.6% probability for the Democrat. All major race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, with no general election polls yet available and Republicans without a Senate victory in the state since 1972. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though late developments such as major candidate scandals, unexpected national shifts, or turnout surges could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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