Recent August 2026 polls show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading Senate voting intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul at 30-38%, positioning Capitão Contar (PL) as the clearest contender for second place with 19-25% support, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and others in single digits or low teens. The PL's internal selection process in July, backed by national party leadership and Bolsonaro endorsements for both Azambuja and Contar, has consolidated right-leaning votes behind these two candidates. With voter preferences split across multiple names and no major endorsements, debates, or shifts reported in the past two weeks, traders view the second-place outcome as closely contested. Upcoming campaign events or late polling movements could widen or narrow the gap among trailing contenders before October voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCapitão Contar 53%
Roberto Oshiro 19%
Valter da Comagran 19%
Luiz Lemes 19%

Capitão Contar
53%

Roberto Oshiro
19%

Valter da Comagran
19%

Luiz Lemes
19%

Vander Loubet
19%

Valderi Garcia
18%

Reinaldo Azambuja
14%

Soraya
8%

Daniel Junior
6%

Beto do Movimento
5%
Capitão Contar 53%
Roberto Oshiro 19%
Valter da Comagran 19%
Luiz Lemes 19%

Capitão Contar
53%

Roberto Oshiro
19%

Valter da Comagran
19%

Luiz Lemes
19%

Vander Loubet
19%

Valderi Garcia
18%

Reinaldo Azambuja
14%

Soraya
8%

Daniel Junior
6%

Beto do Movimento
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 polls show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading Senate voting intentions in Mato Grosso do Sul at 30-38%, positioning Capitão Contar (PL) as the clearest contender for second place with 19-25% support, ahead of Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and others in single digits or low teens. The PL's internal selection process in July, backed by national party leadership and Bolsonaro endorsements for both Azambuja and Contar, has consolidated right-leaning votes behind these two candidates. With voter preferences split across multiple names and no major endorsements, debates, or shifts reported in the past two weeks, traders view the second-place outcome as closely contested. Upcoming campaign events or late polling movements could widen or narrow the gap among trailing contenders before October voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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