**Forecast uncertainty around Wuhan's overnight minimum temperature is driving closely matched market-implied odds near 19°C (54%), 18°C (46%), and 15°C or below (46.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently, while light northerly winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise keep surface temperatures higher. High daytime humidity and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley can moderate the diurnal range, but any increase in cloud cover or subtle wind shifts could raise the low by 1–2°C. International and regional models show minor spreads in boundary-layer cooling rates, with the official minimum determined by China Meteorological Administration observations at standard stations. Traders are weighing these variables against typical early-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle near 22–24°C absent stronger synoptic changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 13?
15°C or below 92%
18°C 92%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
92%
16°C
18%
17°C
18%
18°C
92%
19°C
-
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 92%
18°C 92%
16°C 18%
17°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
15°C or below
$0 KL.
92%
16°C
$0 KL.
18%
17°C
$0 KL.
18%
18°C
$34 KL.
92%
19°C
$317 KL.
-
20°C
$145 KL.
<1%
21°C
$126 KL.
<1%
22°C
$262 KL.
<1%
23°C
$315 KL.
<1%
24°C
$15 KL.
<1%
25°C or higher
$15 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around Wuhan's overnight minimum temperature is driving closely matched market-implied odds near 19°C (54%), 18°C (46%), and 15°C or below (46.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently, while light northerly winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise keep surface temperatures higher. High daytime humidity and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley can moderate the diurnal range, but any increase in cloud cover or subtle wind shifts could raise the low by 1–2°C. International and regional models show minor spreads in boundary-layer cooling rates, with the official minimum determined by China Meteorological Administration observations at standard stations. Traders are weighing these variables against typical early-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle near 22–24°C absent stronger synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,229Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast uncertainty around Wuhan's overnight minimum temperature is driving closely matched market-implied odds near 19°C (54%), 18°C (46%), and 15°C or below (46.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently, while light northerly winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise keep surface temperatures higher. High daytime humidity and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley can moderate the diurnal range, but any increase in cloud cover or subtle wind shifts could raise the low by 1–2°C. International and regional models show minor spreads in boundary-layer cooling rates, with the official minimum determined by China Meteorological Administration observations at standard stations. Traders are weighing these variables against typical early-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle near 22–24°C absent stronger synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,229Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast uncertainty around Wuhan's overnight minimum temperature is driving closely matched market-implied odds near 19°C (54%), 18°C (46%), and 15°C or below (46.5%).** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promote radiative cooling as the ground loses heat efficiently, while light northerly winds limit turbulent mixing that would otherwise keep surface temperatures higher. High daytime humidity and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River valley can moderate the diurnal range, but any increase in cloud cover or subtle wind shifts could raise the low by 1–2°C. International and regional models show minor spreads in boundary-layer cooling rates, with the official minimum determined by China Meteorological Administration observations at standard stations. Traders are weighing these variables against typical early-September climatology, where overnight lows often settle near 22–24°C absent stronger synoptic changes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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