**Forecast models currently converge on an overnight minimum of 8–10°C for Wellington on September 14, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these levels amid 20–30% odds for each nearby bin.** A building high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is promoting clearer skies and lighter winds after recent southerly flows, enabling enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions and reduced turbulent mixing. Northerly winds developing through the morning may limit further drops, while typical September climatology places average lows near 9–10°C. Minor model differences in exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover introduce the observed spread in implied probabilities, with official MetService updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 14?
4°C or below 53%
9°C 30%
11°C 29%
8°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
4°C or below
53%
5°C
17%
6°C
22%
7°C
23%
8°C
27%
9°C
30%
10°C
25%
11°C
29%
12°C
10%
13°C
9%
14°C or higher
16%
4°C or below 53%
9°C 30%
11°C 29%
8°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
4°C or below
$0 KL.
53%
5°C
$0 KL.
17%
6°C
$0 KL.
22%
7°C
$0 KL.
23%
8°C
$0 KL.
27%
9°C
$0 KL.
30%
10°C
$0 KL.
25%
11°C
$0 KL.
29%
12°C
$0 KL.
10%
13°C
$0 KL.
9%
14°C or higher
$0 KL.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently converge on an overnight minimum of 8–10°C for Wellington on September 14, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these levels amid 20–30% odds for each nearby bin.** A building high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is promoting clearer skies and lighter winds after recent southerly flows, enabling enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions and reduced turbulent mixing. Northerly winds developing through the morning may limit further drops, while typical September climatology places average lows near 9–10°C. Minor model differences in exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover introduce the observed spread in implied probabilities, with official MetService updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models currently converge on an overnight minimum of 8–10°C for Wellington on September 14, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these levels amid 20–30% odds for each nearby bin.** A building high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is promoting clearer skies and lighter winds after recent southerly flows, enabling enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions and reduced turbulent mixing. Northerly winds developing through the morning may limit further drops, while typical September climatology places average lows near 9–10°C. Minor model differences in exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover introduce the observed spread in implied probabilities, with official MetService updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models currently converge on an overnight minimum of 8–10°C for Wellington on September 14, 2026, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around these levels amid 20–30% odds for each nearby bin.** A building high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea is promoting clearer skies and lighter winds after recent southerly flows, enabling enhanced radiational cooling under partly cloudy conditions and reduced turbulent mixing. Northerly winds developing through the morning may limit further drops, while typical September climatology places average lows near 9–10°C. Minor model differences in exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover introduce the observed spread in implied probabilities, with official MetService updates expected to refine the precise threshold before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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