Strong market consensus on a 25°C minimum for Tokyo on August 18 reflects official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and long-term climatology, which place typical overnight lows at 23–25°C during peak summer under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Current model runs show partly cloudy skies with daytime highs near 33°C and no significant cooling advection or precipitation expected overnight, keeping the diurnal minimum aligned with seasonal baselines around 24°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores trader confidence in the absence of unusual synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front, enhanced cloud cover with radiative cooling, or localized heavy rain—developments that remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and short time to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 18?
25°C 98%
24°C 4%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
MỚI
$11,840 KL.
MỚI
$11,840 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 4%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
MỚI
$11,840 KL.
MỚI
$11,840 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$422 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,319 KL.
1%
22°C
$1,516 KL.
1%
23°C
$2,907 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,220 KL.
4%
25°C
$2,182 KL.
98%
26°C
$429 KL.
<1%
27°C
$559 KL.
<1%
28°C
$676 KL.
<1%
29°C
$318 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$292 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus on a 25°C minimum for Tokyo on August 18 reflects official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and long-term climatology, which place typical overnight lows at 23–25°C during peak summer under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Current model runs show partly cloudy skies with daytime highs near 33°C and no significant cooling advection or precipitation expected overnight, keeping the diurnal minimum aligned with seasonal baselines around 24°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores trader confidence in the absence of unusual synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front, enhanced cloud cover with radiative cooling, or localized heavy rain—developments that remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and short time to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,840Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong market consensus on a 25°C minimum for Tokyo on August 18 reflects official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and long-term climatology, which place typical overnight lows at 23–25°C during peak summer under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Current model runs show partly cloudy skies with daytime highs near 33°C and no significant cooling advection or precipitation expected overnight, keeping the diurnal minimum aligned with seasonal baselines around 24°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores trader confidence in the absence of unusual synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front, enhanced cloud cover with radiative cooling, or localized heavy rain—developments that remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and short time to resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,840Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong market consensus on a 25°C minimum for Tokyo on August 18 reflects official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and long-term climatology, which place typical overnight lows at 23–25°C during peak summer under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Current model runs show partly cloudy skies with daytime highs near 33°C and no significant cooling advection or precipitation expected overnight, keeping the diurnal minimum aligned with seasonal baselines around 24°C. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores trader confidence in the absence of unusual synoptic shifts. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold front, enhanced cloud cover with radiative cooling, or localized heavy rain—developments that remain low-probability given the current steering pattern and short time to resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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