**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low for Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.4% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and local aviation reports consistently project an overnight minimum near 20°C (68°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s. Daytime highs reached 28–29°C, followed by steady cooling after sunset, aligning with early-autumn climatology for the region where September lows typically range 18–22°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations show tight agreement around this threshold, with no significant frontal systems or cloud cover to alter radiative cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve precise station micro-variations or a last-hour measurement shift pushing the recorded minimum to 19°C or 21°C, though current data and historical analogs make such deviations unlikely.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 5?
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$11,233 KL.
$11,233 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 99.4%
19°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$11,233 KL.
$11,233 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
$369 KL.
<1%
14°C
$614 KL.
<1%
15°C
$195 KL.
<1%
16°C
$447 KL.
<1%
17°C
$1,138 KL.
<1%
18°C
$951 KL.
<1%
19°C
$1,322 KL.
<1%
20°C
$2,271 KL.
99%
21°C
$2,963 KL.
<1%
22°C
$788 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$175 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low for Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.4% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and local aviation reports consistently project an overnight minimum near 20°C (68°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s. Daytime highs reached 28–29°C, followed by steady cooling after sunset, aligning with early-autumn climatology for the region where September lows typically range 18–22°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations show tight agreement around this threshold, with no significant frontal systems or cloud cover to alter radiative cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve precise station micro-variations or a last-hour measurement shift pushing the recorded minimum to 19°C or 21°C, though current data and historical analogs make such deviations unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,233Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low for Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.4% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and local aviation reports consistently project an overnight minimum near 20°C (68°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s. Daytime highs reached 28–29°C, followed by steady cooling after sunset, aligning with early-autumn climatology for the region where September lows typically range 18–22°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations show tight agreement around this threshold, with no significant frontal systems or cloud cover to alter radiative cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve precise station micro-variations or a last-hour measurement shift pushing the recorded minimum to 19°C or 21°C, though current data and historical analogs make such deviations unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,233Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C low for Incheon on September 5, 2026, at 99.4% implied probability.** Official forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration, Met Office, and local aviation reports consistently project an overnight minimum near 20°C (68°F) under clear to partly cloudy skies with northeasterly winds of 7–10 m/s. Daytime highs reached 28–29°C, followed by steady cooling after sunset, aligning with early-autumn climatology for the region where September lows typically range 18–22°C. Multiple model runs and real-time observations show tight agreement around this threshold, with no significant frontal systems or cloud cover to alter radiative cooling. The only realistic challenges would involve precise station micro-variations or a last-hour measurement shift pushing the recorded minimum to 19°C or 21°C, though current data and historical analogs make such deviations unlikely.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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