Forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and other sources show Moscow under cloudy skies with southerly winds and scattered rain on September 5, 2026, keeping overnight lows and early-morning readings in the 12–14 °C range while daytime highs reach 16–18 °C. This places the daily minimum near the 13 °C threshold that currently leads market-implied odds, yet the tight clustering around 9–13 °C reflects genuine forecast spread in timing of any clearing or heavier showers that could pull readings lower. Historical September norms near 9 °C provide context, but persistent cloud cover and advection of milder air limit further cooling. Updated model runs and official minimum observations later today will resolve the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
9°C or below 91%
10°C 45%
11°C 42%
12°C 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
9°C or below
91%
10°C
45%
11°C
42%
12°C
42%
13°C
46%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 91%
10°C 45%
11°C 42%
12°C 42%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 5, 2026
9°C or below
$22 KL.
91%
10°C
$12 KL.
45%
11°C
$0 KL.
42%
12°C
$0 KL.
42%
13°C
$2 KL.
46%
14°C
$64 KL.
<1%
15°C
$35 KL.
<1%
16°C
$35 KL.
<1%
17°C
$35 KL.
<1%
18°C
$35 KL.
<1%
19°C or higher
$35 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and other sources show Moscow under cloudy skies with southerly winds and scattered rain on September 5, 2026, keeping overnight lows and early-morning readings in the 12–14 °C range while daytime highs reach 16–18 °C. This places the daily minimum near the 13 °C threshold that currently leads market-implied odds, yet the tight clustering around 9–13 °C reflects genuine forecast spread in timing of any clearing or heavier showers that could pull readings lower. Historical September norms near 9 °C provide context, but persistent cloud cover and advection of milder air limit further cooling. Updated model runs and official minimum observations later today will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$275Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and other sources show Moscow under cloudy skies with southerly winds and scattered rain on September 5, 2026, keeping overnight lows and early-morning readings in the 12–14 °C range while daytime highs reach 16–18 °C. This places the daily minimum near the 13 °C threshold that currently leads market-implied odds, yet the tight clustering around 9–13 °C reflects genuine forecast spread in timing of any clearing or heavier showers that could pull readings lower. Historical September norms near 9 °C provide context, but persistent cloud cover and advection of milder air limit further cooling. Updated model runs and official minimum observations later today will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$275Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and other sources show Moscow under cloudy skies with southerly winds and scattered rain on September 5, 2026, keeping overnight lows and early-morning readings in the 12–14 °C range while daytime highs reach 16–18 °C. This places the daily minimum near the 13 °C threshold that currently leads market-implied odds, yet the tight clustering around 9–13 °C reflects genuine forecast spread in timing of any clearing or heavier showers that could pull readings lower. Historical September norms near 9 °C provide context, but persistent cloud cover and advection of milder air limit further cooling. Updated model runs and official minimum observations later today will resolve the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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