Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models indicate Moscow's September 5 high will likely reach 16–18°C amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Southerly to westerly winds and a moist air mass further suppress daytime warming, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger insolation. These conditions explain why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 17–19°C, with 18°C leading at 45%. Updated model runs and surface observations through early September 5 reinforce this range, though any breaks in cloud or reduced rainfall could push readings toward 19°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 5?
18°C 45%
17°C 26%
19°C 20%
16°C 6%
MỚI
$14,229 KL.
MỚI
$14,229 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
26%
18°C
45%
19°C
20%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 45%
17°C 26%
19°C 20%
16°C 6%
MỚI
$14,229 KL.
MỚI
$14,229 KL.
Sep 5, 2026
13°C or below
$509 KL.
<1%
14°C
$258 KL.
<1%
15°C
$1,410 KL.
2%
16°C
$4,473 KL.
6%
17°C
$758 KL.
26%
18°C
$2,368 KL.
45%
19°C
$2,580 KL.
20%
20°C
$646 KL.
2%
21°C
$459 KL.
1%
22°C
$461 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$306 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models indicate Moscow's September 5 high will likely reach 16–18°C amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Southerly to westerly winds and a moist air mass further suppress daytime warming, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger insolation. These conditions explain why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 17–19°C, with 18°C leading at 45%. Updated model runs and surface observations through early September 5 reinforce this range, though any breaks in cloud or reduced rainfall could push readings toward 19°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,229Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models indicate Moscow's September 5 high will likely reach 16–18°C amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Southerly to westerly winds and a moist air mass further suppress daytime warming, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger insolation. These conditions explain why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 17–19°C, with 18°C leading at 45%. Updated model runs and surface observations through early September 5 reinforce this range, though any breaks in cloud or reduced rainfall could push readings toward 19°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,229Ngày kết thúc
Sep 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and other models indicate Moscow's September 5 high will likely reach 16–18°C amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Southerly to westerly winds and a moist air mass further suppress daytime warming, keeping temperatures near seasonal norms rather than allowing stronger insolation. These conditions explain why trader-implied probabilities concentrate on 17–19°C, with 18°C leading at 45%. Updated model runs and surface observations through early September 5 reinforce this range, though any breaks in cloud or reduced rainfall could push readings toward 19°C before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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