**Current forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s minimum temperature on September 12 will most likely fall between 8–11 °C, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a cold front that is replacing earlier southerly warmth.** Daytime highs are expected near 16–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies with little or no precipitation, consistent with mid-September climatology (historical average low ~8.6 °C). Recent model runs have converged on this cooler regime after warmer conditions earlier in the week, supporting the elevated market-implied odds for 9 °C and neighboring exact values while keeping the slim chance of 4 °C or below tied to any further cooling or clear-sky radiative effects. Updated short-range guidance and observational data through September 11 will refine the final minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 12?
14°C or higher 82%
4°C or below 50%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
4°C or below
50%
5°C
40%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
30%
9°C
23%
10°C
25%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C or higher
82%
14°C or higher 82%
4°C or below 50%
5°C 40%
6°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
4°C or below
$0 KL.
50%
5°C
$0 KL.
40%
6°C
$0 KL.
40%
7°C
$0 KL.
40%
8°C
$0 KL.
30%
9°C
$0 KL.
23%
10°C
$0 KL.
25%
11°C
$0 KL.
40%
12°C
$0 KL.
40%
13°C
$0 KL.
40%
14°C or higher
$0 KL.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s minimum temperature on September 12 will most likely fall between 8–11 °C, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a cold front that is replacing earlier southerly warmth.**
Daytime highs are expected near 16–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies with little or no precipitation, consistent with mid-September climatology (historical average low ~8.6 °C). Recent model runs have converged on this cooler regime after warmer conditions earlier in the week, supporting the elevated market-implied odds for 9 °C and neighboring exact values while keeping the slim chance of 4 °C or below tied to any further cooling or clear-sky radiative effects. Updated short-range guidance and observational data through September 11 will refine the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s minimum temperature on September 12 will most likely fall between 8–11 °C, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a cold front that is replacing earlier southerly warmth.**
Daytime highs are expected near 16–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies with little or no precipitation, consistent with mid-September climatology (historical average low ~8.6 °C). Recent model runs have converged on this cooler regime after warmer conditions earlier in the week, supporting the elevated market-implied odds for 9 °C and neighboring exact values while keeping the slim chance of 4 °C or below tied to any further cooling or clear-sky radiative effects. Updated short-range guidance and observational data through September 11 will refine the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from global models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Moscow’s minimum temperature on September 12 will most likely fall between 8–11 °C, driven by a shift to westerly flow behind a cold front that is replacing earlier southerly warmth.** Daytime highs are expected near 16–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies with little or no precipitation, consistent with mid-September climatology (historical average low ~8.6 °C). Recent model runs have converged on this cooler regime after warmer conditions earlier in the week, supporting the elevated market-implied odds for 9 °C and neighboring exact values while keeping the slim chance of 4 °C or below tied to any further cooling or clear-sky radiative effects. Updated short-range guidance and observational data through September 11 will refine the final minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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