Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 10, 2026, have capped daytime heating, with official observations and model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing a maximum near 21–22°C amid northeasterly flow and high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied 100% consensus on 22°C, reflecting real-time surface data and the absence of any clearing that would allow stronger solar warming. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 26–28°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a stalled frontal system—has suppressed temperatures well below that threshold. Only a late-day measurement revision or localized microclimate spike could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$51,334 KL.
$51,334 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$51,334 KL.
$51,334 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
17°C or below
$1,322 KL.
<1%
18°C
$1,227 KL.
<1%
19°C
$503 KL.
<1%
20°C
$1,437 KL.
<1%
21°C
$12,644 KL.
<1%
22°C
$9,598 KL.
100%
23°C
$6,946 KL.
<1%
24°C
$5,303 KL.
<1%
25°C
$5,198 KL.
<1%
26°C
$3,356 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$3,860 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 10, 2026, have capped daytime heating, with official observations and model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing a maximum near 21–22°C amid northeasterly flow and high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied 100% consensus on 22°C, reflecting real-time surface data and the absence of any clearing that would allow stronger solar warming. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 26–28°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a stalled frontal system—has suppressed temperatures well below that threshold. Only a late-day measurement revision or localized microclimate spike could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$51,334Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 10, 2026, have capped daytime heating, with official observations and model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing a maximum near 21–22°C amid northeasterly flow and high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied 100% consensus on 22°C, reflecting real-time surface data and the absence of any clearing that would allow stronger solar warming. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 26–28°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a stalled frontal system—has suppressed temperatures well below that threshold. Only a late-day measurement revision or localized microclimate spike could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$51,334Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and extensive cloud cover across Tokyo on September 10, 2026, have capped daytime heating, with official observations and model guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency showing a maximum near 21–22°C amid northeasterly flow and high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied 100% consensus on 22°C, reflecting real-time surface data and the absence of any clearing that would allow stronger solar warming. Historical September baselines for the region average highs near 26–28°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by a stalled frontal system—has suppressed temperatures well below that threshold. Only a late-day measurement revision or localized microclimate spike could realistically shift the outcome, though current conditions make such changes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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