**Official forecasts and early observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations have converged on a daily maximum of 30°C for September 10, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability.** Multiple regional models and agency updates indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds and limited afternoon heating, producing highs clustered tightly around 28–30°C across urban stations such as Xujiahui. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where post-monsoon subsidence and moderate humidity cap extreme warming. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at designated Shanghai stations; any late-day convective cooling or measurement adjustments at secondary sites remain the primary realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across guidance strongly supports the 30°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$114,140 KL.
$114,140 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$114,140 KL.
$114,140 KL.
Sep 10, 2026
25°C or below
$3,241 KL.
<1%
26°C
$7,399 KL.
<1%
27°C
$19,216 KL.
<1%
28°C
$28,716 KL.
<1%
29°C
$25,091 KL.
<1%
30°C
$11,911 KL.
100%
31°C
$11,261 KL.
<1%
32°C
$3,354 KL.
<1%
33°C
$845 KL.
<1%
34°C
$1,521 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,585 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts and early observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations have converged on a daily maximum of 30°C for September 10, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability.** Multiple regional models and agency updates indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds and limited afternoon heating, producing highs clustered tightly around 28–30°C across urban stations such as Xujiahui. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where post-monsoon subsidence and moderate humidity cap extreme warming. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at designated Shanghai stations; any late-day convective cooling or measurement adjustments at secondary sites remain the primary realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across guidance strongly supports the 30°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$114,140Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts and early observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations have converged on a daily maximum of 30°C for September 10, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability.** Multiple regional models and agency updates indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds and limited afternoon heating, producing highs clustered tightly around 28–30°C across urban stations such as Xujiahui. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where post-monsoon subsidence and moderate humidity cap extreme warming. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at designated Shanghai stations; any late-day convective cooling or measurement adjustments at secondary sites remain the primary realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across guidance strongly supports the 30°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$114,140Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts and early observational data from Shanghai meteorological stations have converged on a daily maximum of 30°C for September 10, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability.** Multiple regional models and agency updates indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds and limited afternoon heating, producing highs clustered tightly around 28–30°C across urban stations such as Xujiahui. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for the Yangtze River Delta, where post-monsoon subsidence and moderate humidity cap extreme warming. Resolution hinges on the official highest recorded temperature at designated Shanghai stations; any late-day convective cooling or measurement adjustments at secondary sites remain the primary realistic variables that could shift the outcome, though current consensus across guidance strongly supports the 30°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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