**Forecast models from official meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate humidity associated with the ongoing rainy season.** Mexico City’s high elevation (approximately 2,240 m) normally allows stronger nighttime cooling under clear skies, but current conditions—overcast skies with 70–100% cloud cover and scattered showers—limit radiational cooling and support a milder minimum. Historical September averages show typical lows around 10–12°C, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations point to 12–14°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C (32.5%) and nearby outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 11°C. Updated forecast runs and official station readings from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 13?
17°C or higher 94%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
14°C 40%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
33%
15°C
24%
16°C
22%
17°C or higher
94%
17°C or higher 94%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
14°C 40%
7°C or below
2%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
33%
15°C
24%
16°C
22%
17°C or higher
94%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from official meteorological sources indicate overnight lows near 13–14°C for Mexico City on September 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate humidity associated with the ongoing rainy season.** Mexico City’s high elevation (approximately 2,240 m) normally allows stronger nighttime cooling under clear skies, but current conditions—overcast skies with 70–100% cloud cover and scattered showers—limit radiational cooling and support a milder minimum. Historical September averages show typical lows around 10–12°C, yet recent model consensus and real-time observations point to 12–14°C, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C (32.5%) and nearby outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes below 11°C. Updated forecast runs and official station readings from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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